AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-10 Women's Foil

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Gloria 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
2 CHEN bridgette 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 ZHANG Selene T. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
3 LIN Clara 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
5 LIU Anya 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
6 FU Angela 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
7 KIM Rylie 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
8 LIN Tiffany 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
9 NAKAZATO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
10 MAHAPATRA Alisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
11 HOLSTAD Anneliese 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
12 SHI Cathy 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
13 TUNG Alison 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
14 XIA Emily 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3%
15 ZHAI Muyan 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
16 CHUNG Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
17 SAIFEE Sakina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
18 CHEUNG Arya 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
19 TELEB Amina 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
20 LI Claire 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
21 SHU Kayla 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
22 LEE Madison 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 1%
23 KENZHEBULATOVA Sara 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
24 CHEN Chloe 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% -
25 CHANG Yuri 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
26 KO Alyssa 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
27 PICACHE Camilla 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
28 KIM Taerin 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
29 SUN Zoey 100% 92% 63% 27% 5% -
30 SUN Leia 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
31 TAGNE Zoey 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
32 MARENITCH Kara 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 26% 4%
33 CHEN Michelle 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 9%
34 MORONES Alieza 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
35 JOE Everly 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
35 YANG Lucy 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
37 DAI Claire 100% 98% 82% 46% 12%
38 SHEN Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
39 ZEE Bella 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
40 KIM Olivia 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
41 CHANG Audrey 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
42 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
43 YI Helen 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
44 GAO Nicole 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
45 CHEN Sarah 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
46 CHOW Ariel 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
47 LU Mackenzie 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
48 GU Alexandra 100% 84% 45% 13% 2%
49 SCHOR Katherine 100% 73% 30% 6% - -
50 SCHULTZ Emmi 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
51 DONG Ena 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
52 CHENG Jessica 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
53 KNOX aysa 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
54 SONG Esther W 100% 88% 47% 11% 1% - -
55 SINGH Aditi 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
56 YOON Adeline 100% 87% 52% 17% 2%
57 MURPHY Ava 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
58 ISAAC Felicity 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
59 MAHAJAN Mira 100% 92% 58% 18% 3% - -
60 LIN Valentina 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
61 HOU Alice 100% 100% 95% 63% 21% 2%
62 SONI Olivia 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
63 GUO Antong 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.