The Orange Blossom Classic SYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Friday, November 7, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Caribe Royale Orlando - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSLEY Wally - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
2 TANG Daniel - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
3 LIU Austin - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
3 LEE Leo - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
5 FERNANDEZ William - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
6 CHIANG William - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
7 KIM Aiden - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
8 CHAU Ivan 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
9 CHEN Evan - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
10 KROPP Wesley - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
11 GUJJA Rishabh - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
12 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
13 PARK Ethan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
14 LIU Yihong - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
15 CHEN Linus - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
16 BUTLER Xavier - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
17 YOU Asher - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
18 KIM Ian 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
19 YOO Lucas - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 1%
20 CHA Aiden - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
21 SHIM Jaeyoo - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
22 LAI Jayden 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
23 YUE Bryan - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
24 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
25 LI Nolan 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
26 KO Ethan 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
27 BRATU Max - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
28 CAVALLARO Xavier 4% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
29 KIM Kaiden 7% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
30 MAXWELL Taiga 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
31 CHEN Regis 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
32 XUAN nathan 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
33 YAN Milan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
34 SANTANGELO Jack 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
35 MITTELSTAEDT EJ 12% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
36 SCHLUBACH Jasper 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
37 KIM William 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
38 JIANG Adam - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
39 FERNANDEZ Chenxing - 3% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
40 XIONG Alec 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
41 RIVKIN Asher 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
42 CANONACO Maddox 33% 44% 19% 4% - - -
43 OLELE Chibuikem 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
44 PATEL Yash 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
45 MCGAHAN Cashton 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
45 QU ethan 21% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
47 LEE Daniel 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
48 GAO Kevin 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
49 TIRINKIAN Zareh 41% 42% 15% 3% - - -
50 CHEN Corey 47% 38% 12% 2% - - -
51 QIAN-LIU Zachary < 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
52 PEKKER Moussa 1% 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% -
53 WANG Franklin 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
53 ORNDORF IV Thomas P. 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
55 BONTHA Aneesh 1% 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
56 LIU Sky < 1% 8% 40% 37% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.