The Orange Blossom Classic SYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Friday, November 7, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Caribe Royale Orlando - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
2 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
3 LIU Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
3 LEE Leo 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
5 FERNANDEZ William 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
6 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
7 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
8 CHAU Ivan 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
9 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
10 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
11 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
12 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
13 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
14 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
15 CHEN Linus 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
16 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
17 YOU Asher 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
18 KIM Ian 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
19 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
20 CHA Aiden 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
21 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
22 LAI Jayden 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
23 YUE Bryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
24 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
25 LI Nolan 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
26 KO Ethan 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
27 BRATU Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
28 CAVALLARO Xavier 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
29 KIM Kaiden 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
30 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
31 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
32 XUAN nathan 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
33 YAN Milan 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
34 SANTANGELO Jack 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
35 MITTELSTAEDT EJ 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
36 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
37 KIM William 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
38 JIANG Adam 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
39 FERNANDEZ Chenxing 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 4%
40 XIONG Alec 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
41 RIVKIN Asher 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
42 CANONACO Maddox 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
43 OLELE Chibuikem 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
44 PATEL Yash 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
45 MCGAHAN Cashton 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
45 QU ethan 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
47 LEE Daniel 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
48 GAO Kevin 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
49 TIRINKIAN Zareh 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
50 CHEN Corey 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
51 QIAN-LIU Zachary 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
52 PEKKER Moussa 100% 99% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
53 WANG Franklin 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
53 ORNDORF IV Thomas P. 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
55 BONTHA Aneesh 100% 99% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
56 LIU Sky 100% 100% 91% 52% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.