The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Mission RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 2:45 PM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 INSLER Ethan C. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
2 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - - 4% 23% 47% 26%
3 LEHR William D. - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
3 JIN Owen 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
5 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
6 JIN Alexander - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
7 FERREIRA Noah J. 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
8 SKIFFINGTON Sam 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% -
9 MCDERMOTT Brian - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
10 MORSE Tyler - - 3% 17% 46% 34%
11 LONCAR Luka E. - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
12 KOLKER Gregory A. 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
13 WU Joseph 1% 12% 35% 38% 13% 1%
14 HU Matthew 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
15 MAAS Sean H. - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
16 SIMPSON Patrick 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
17 TUCKER Owen J. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
18 SHAO Haian 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
19 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
20 PAVATE Rishi 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
21 LI Brian 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
22 PAHLAVI Kamran 8% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
23 CONNORS Jacob 48% 39% 11% 1% - -
24 TSUI Matthew 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
25 KARAMANIAN Nicholas 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
26 STEWART Charlie 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.