Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
2 SALIBA Madison 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
3 ERATA Selena 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
3 GORDON Winter 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
5 LIU sienna 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 13%
6 CHOI Noah 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15% < 1%
7 YOON Michelle 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
8 STAFFORD Thylane Sage 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
9 FARIAS Francesca 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
10 MAO Faith 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
11 MENG Yinuo 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
12 MASKIN Anna 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
13 GUAN Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
14 LUK-SOLARZ Madison 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
15 BIRZ Vivienne 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
16 LAI Serena 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
17 VILLER Gabriella 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
18 WONG Dorothy 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
19 LIAN Cailey 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
20 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
21 LUO MAOMAO 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
22 ZHANG Grace 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
23 LIU Sophie Wei 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
24 ABDELFATAH Laila 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
25 TOYONAGA Elisa 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
26 LIU Clara 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
27 LEE Zerah 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
28 BOUTSIKARIS Priya 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2%
29 KANG HANA 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
30 MILLER Natalie 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
31 TATINI Aria 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
32 CHO Angelina 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% - -
33 ANDERLE Lydia 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
34 CHEN Scarlett 100% 94% 65% 27% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.