October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Monday, October 15, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
2 KANESHIGE Brian K. - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
3 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
3 EMMER Chase T. - - - 3% 19% 43% 35%
5 IMBODEN Race A. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
5 AYAD Tarek - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
7 HAMZA Mohamed - 1% 8% 30% 41% 18% 2%
8 PAIK Joon K. - - 6% 36% 44% 13% 1%
9 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
10 DOLZHENKO Bogdan - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
11 TOURETTE Geoffrey - - 2% 11% 35% 44% 8%
12 OLIVARES Marcello G. - 1% 11% 30% 38% 18% 2%
13 TIRADO Sebastian (Sebi) 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
14 DANIEL Ashton - 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
15 IVERSON Shane D. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
16 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
17 BONTEMS Pierre-Olivier - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 6%
18 MATHIEU Adam - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
18 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. - - 3% 17% 42% 35% 4%
18 ORTS Lucas E. - - 3% 18% 43% 33% 3%
21 GASSNER Ethan I. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
22 LI Michael C. - - - 6% 35% 55% 4%
23 ANDRADE Nicholas H. 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
24 HOLMES Stuart S. - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 4%
25 MITBERG Gregory W. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
26 ZHENG Andrew R. - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 4%
27 CHEN James P. - - 2% 11% 34% 41% 12%
28 SHIN Philip D. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
29 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 4% 19% 40% 32% 6%
30 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
31 MARINO Joseph A. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
32 WOODS Jack H. 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
33 BICEGO SEBASTIANO - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
34 RHEINGANS-YOO Duncan R. - - 1% 19% 47% 29% 5%
34 BOURTIS James S. - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
36 FIELD Miles - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
37 AYUPOV Ilya - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
38 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
39 KUMBLA Sidarth 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
40 BROSZUS Blake J. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
41 LEVY Jasper - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
42 ANTIPAS Michael C. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
42 LEVIN Nestor R. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
44 LI Brian H. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
45 LI Brandon H. - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
46 EVANS Cameron R. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
47 SWEET Mikhail (Misha) 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
48 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 2% 12% 39% 46%
49 GRASS Andrew E. - 1% 14% 56% 27% 2%
50 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
51 WANG Brian S. 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
52 SHIH Benjamin - 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
53 WONG Robert (Bobby) B. - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
54 YEE Maxwell J. - 2% 12% 33% 36% 16% 1%
55 PARKINS Benjamin B. 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
56 WELCH Kyle J. - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
57 MURRAY Thomas J. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
58 TULYAG Fyze A. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
59 RANADIVE Rishi R. 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
60 KOZAK Mateusz - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 2%
61 LIU Justin - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
62 NEILSON Ian A. - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
63 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - 2% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
64 DONG Darren - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
65 HUANG Bin - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
66 GRIGORIEV Eduard - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
67 DING Andrew Y. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
68 HASSAN Mohamed H. - 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
69 JOHNSON Cole B. - - 3% 17% 40% 33% 7%
69 LIAO Alex J. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
71 GRIFFIN John O. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
72 DAYTON Draper - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
73 BARMANN Samuel (Sam) I. 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
74 BAE Anthony - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
75 LOUIE Bryce - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
76 MCGOFF Jose I. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
77 PITCHER Skylar L. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
78 HOSSFELD Finn E. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
78 KNIGHT Ethan H. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
80 LU Kerry L. 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
81 JALOWICA Brandon 14% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
82 CAI Alex 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
83 HODGES Carter F. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
84 CONDIFF Noah L. 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 10% 2%
85 PRILUTSKY David B. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
86 PELOSKY Ryan F. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
87 VOGLER Justin K. - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 8%
88 LIU Niles J. - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
89 STANLEY Mason B. 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
90 HADLER Benjamin N. - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
91 DING Allan 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
92 KUCEBA Vitalijs 2% 39% 41% 15% 2% -
93 YU Eric W. - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
94 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. - 9% 41% 35% 12% 2% -
95 REID Clayton J. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
96 IRVINE Jonathan J. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
97 CHUNG Jinwoo 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
98 PALAZZOLO William J. 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
98 HUTH Jacob 20% 45% 29% 5% - - -
100 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - 1% 10% 44% 36% 9%
101 COLON Cesar L. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
101 TAQI Ahmad F. - 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
103 KATAYAMA Kevin - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9% 1%
104 KAISER Hans Z. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
104 KONG Kenneth 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
104 CHEN Ziyuan 1% 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
107 GRUBER Samuel T. 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
108 TIERNEY David A. - - 2% 9% 29% 41% 19%
109 ADLER David R. - 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
110 WONG Anthony M. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
111 WU Albert 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2% -
112 YU Vinni - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
113 CARTER Lucas M. 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
114 CANNON Caiden C. 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
115 DORITY Philip S. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
116 WRIEDT Nathan O. 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
117 BRATTON Jack S. - 1% 11% 35% 44% 9%
118 CHENG Thomas C. 23% 58% 17% 2% - -
119 LOPEZ Carlos D. 6% 31% 40% 19% 3% -
120 KO Brian J. 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
121 MILLER Jeffrey E. 6% 38% 39% 15% 2% -
122 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
123 WONG Wesley C. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
124 LI Raphael C. 56% 34% 8% 1% - - -
125 MEMANI Apurva 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
125 WU Alexander 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
127 OH Samuel H. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
128 BOJANOV Boris 9% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
129 SAMORA Jose G. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
130 KARBONOWSKI Kamil - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
131 LIU Patrick 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
132 LUTAR Lucas N. 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
133 GRIFFITH Jordan 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
134 ANDREWS Nathan J. - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
135 UPTON Michael 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
136 HONG Daniel - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
137 YANG Andy H. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
138 VITI Mark G. 1% 11% 37% 37% 13% 1% -
139 UM Ethan A. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
140 JOHNSON Aidan J. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
141 OUELLETTE David M. - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 15%
142 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
143 DAVID Maxime 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
144 FLANAGAN James 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
145 WESTELIUS Isak R. 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
146 MILLER Douglas S. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
147 PATEL Aryoman M. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
148 XIAO Ethan J. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
149 CHESTNA Samuel E. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
150 HU Oliver W. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
151 CHUNG Andrew N. - 1% 7% 31% 49% 12%
152 TICHACEK Matthew J. 12% 43% 38% 7% 1% -
153 LOVERAS Orlando S. 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
154 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
155 LEE Benjamin H. - 3% 19% 41% 31% 6%
156 KELLY William J. 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
157 ROSSELLO Gustavo J. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
158 CARLICK Benjamin W. 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% -
159 LEWICKI Max 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
160 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
160 LOCKWOOD Owen - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
162 VAN HAASTER Emile A. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
163 ZOBEL Eric H. 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4% -
164 HOLLAND Niklas 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
165 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
166 GORDON-SAND Spencer 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
167 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
168 BLUTT Emerson B. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
168 HERGAN Daniel 10% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
170 DIVENTI Paul W. 4% 32% 39% 19% 5% 1% -
170 GU Jeffrey 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
172 ZHAO Jason L. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
173 SHIH William - - < 1% 1% 10% 38% 50%
173 PAIK Hyun K. - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
175 LEWIS Paul D. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
176 HOOSHI Dylan M. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
177 DING Jonathan 1% 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
178 ROMANOV Michael 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
179 BARLETTA Joseph 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
180 REALS Alden D. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
181 SHAFAIE Ali 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
182 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 2% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1% -
183 FARQUHARSON Cole 10% 44% 37% 9% 1% - -
184 SCHLESINGER Nathan 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
185 NAGIMOV Marsel 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
186 HU James (Jimmy) Y. 15% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
187 LI Alex 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
188 MA Alexander - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4%
189 SOHN Christopher - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
190 LONG Quinton R. 18% 49% 28% 5% - -
191 HO Ryan J. 2% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
192 RITCHIE Luke W. 27% 48% 22% 3% - - -
193 GAUDREAU-POLLENDER Julien 5% 31% 41% 19% 4% - -
194 DZODZOS Michael 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
195 SLEDESKI Andrew 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1% -
196 DICKSON Farr R. - < 1% 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
196 HEMPE Jake 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
198 ADLER Ian B. 30% 47% 20% 3% - - -
199 YANG Adam - 4% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
200 NOVACHENKO Nestor V. 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
200 TORO Alejandro 5% 33% 43% 16% 2% - -
200 URODOVSKIKH Evan 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
200 DUBE Charles-Hugo 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% - -
204 RYAN Connor Q. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
204 CAI Jason Zhicheng 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
206 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
207 CHU Derek 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
208 PARK Luke J. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
209 VANNI Filippo A. 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
209 ZHENG Alan H. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
211 BROOKES Scott L. 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
212 JANG Jaewon - 7% 27% 38% 22% 4% -
213 GAUDET Paul D. 12% 40% 37% 10% 1% - -
213 ADAMS Luke C. 28% 45% 22% 5% - - -
213 GEE Brandon - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
216 MILLER Braeden G. - 5% 18% 33% 31% 12% 2%
217 THAI William 19% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
218 LEVY Jacob M. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
219 CHEN Andrew - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
220 DOBBINS Evan W. 3% 40% 46% 10% 1% - -
221 ZHOU TIMMY - 4% 23% 41% 26% 5% -
221 LEE Caden - < 1% 5% 21% 41% 27% 5%
223 SIEGEL Elliot - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 4%
224 HAYENGA Gary M. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
225 CHAN Anthony 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 6% 1%
226 BATRAK Alexander 10% 43% 35% 11% 1% -
227 PETERS Nathan M. 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
228 MOHAMED Yaseen 34% 46% 18% 3% - - -
229 BURTE Alexander J. 28% 49% 21% 3% - - -
229 CHOY Lucas B. < 1% 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 3%
229 XIAO Enoch A. < 1% 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 5%
232 JOHNSON Cooper A. 27% 47% 23% 3% - - -
232 COOK John J. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
234 JANSEN Jesse 39% 47% 13% 1% - - -
235 BERGEN Thomas R. 19% 46% 31% 4% - - -
235 GUPTA Eashan 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
235 YE Kevin E. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
235 PETER Griffin 1% 11% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
239 MA Andrew 35% 51% 13% 1% - - -
240 MAO Connor 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.