October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Monday, October 15, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
2 KANESHIGE Brian K. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
3 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
3 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
5 IMBODEN Race A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
5 AYAD Tarek 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5%
7 HAMZA Mohamed 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 21% 2%
8 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 100% 94% 58% 14% 1%
9 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
10 DOLZHENKO Bogdan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
11 TOURETTE Geoffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 8%
12 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
13 TIRADO Sebastian (Sebi) 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
14 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
15 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
16 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
17 BONTEMS Pierre-Olivier 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
18 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
18 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 4%
18 ORTS Lucas E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 3%
21 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
22 LI Michael C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58% 4%
23 ANDRADE Nicholas H. 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
24 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 4%
25 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
26 ZHENG Andrew R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
27 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 12%
28 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
29 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
30 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 2% -
31 MARINO Joseph A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
32 WOODS Jack H. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
33 BICEGO SEBASTIANO 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
34 RHEINGANS-YOO Duncan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 80% 33% 5%
34 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
36 FIELD Miles 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
37 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
38 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
39 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
40 BROSZUS Blake J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
41 LEVY Jasper 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
42 ANTIPAS Michael C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
42 LEVIN Nestor R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
44 LI Brian H. 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 1%
45 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
46 EVANS Cameron R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
47 SWEET Mikhail (Misha) 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
48 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
49 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 99% 85% 29% 2%
50 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
51 WANG Brian S. 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
52 SHIH Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
53 WONG Robert (Bobby) B. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
54 YEE Maxwell J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 1%
55 PARKINS Benjamin B. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
56 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
57 MURRAY Thomas J. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
58 TULYAG Fyze A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
59 RANADIVE Rishi R. 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
60 KOZAK Mateusz 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
61 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
62 NEILSON Ian A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
63 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
64 DONG Darren 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
65 HUANG Bin 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
66 GRIGORIEV Eduard 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
67 DING Andrew Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
68 HASSAN Mohamed H. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
69 JOHNSON Cole B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
69 LIAO Alex J. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
71 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
72 DAYTON Draper 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
73 BARMANN Samuel (Sam) I. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
74 BAE Anthony 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
75 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
76 MCGOFF Jose I. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
77 PITCHER Skylar L. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
78 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 96% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
78 KNIGHT Ethan H. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 1%
80 LU Kerry L. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
81 JALOWICA Brandon 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
82 CAI Alex 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
83 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
84 CONDIFF Noah L. 100% 99% 90% 68% 36% 11% 2%
85 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
86 PELOSKY Ryan F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
87 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
88 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
89 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
90 HADLER Benjamin N. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
91 DING Allan 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% -
92 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 98% 59% 18% 2% -
93 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
94 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 100% 90% 49% 14% 2% -
95 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 8%
96 IRVINE Jonathan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
97 CHUNG Jinwoo 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
98 PALAZZOLO William J. 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
98 HUTH Jacob 100% 80% 35% 5% - - -
100 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45% 9%
101 COLON Cesar L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
101 TAQI Ahmad F. 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
103 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% 1%
104 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 2%
104 KONG Kenneth 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
104 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 99% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
107 GRUBER Samuel T. 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
108 TIERNEY David A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
109 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
110 WONG Anthony M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
111 WU Albert 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 2% -
112 YU Vinni 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
113 CARTER Lucas M. 100% 88% 54% 20% 3% - -
114 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
115 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
116 WRIEDT Nathan O. 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
117 BRATTON Jack S. 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 9%
118 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 77% 19% 2% - -
119 LOPEZ Carlos D. 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
120 KO Brian J. 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
121 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 94% 57% 17% 3% -
122 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 8%
123 WONG Wesley C. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
124 LI Raphael C. 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
125 MEMANI Apurva 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
125 WU Alexander 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
127 OH Samuel H. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
128 BOJANOV Boris 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
129 SAMORA Jose G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
130 KARBONOWSKI Kamil 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
131 LIU Patrick 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
132 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
133 GRIFFITH Jordan 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
134 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
135 UPTON Michael 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
136 HONG Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
137 YANG Andy H. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
138 VITI Mark G. 100% 99% 89% 52% 15% 1% -
139 UM Ethan A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
140 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
141 OUELLETTE David M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
142 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
143 DAVID Maxime 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
144 FLANAGAN James 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
145 WESTELIUS Isak R. 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
146 MILLER Douglas S. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
147 PATEL Aryoman M. 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
148 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% 1%
149 CHESTNA Samuel E. 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
150 HU Oliver W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
151 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 12%
152 TICHACEK Matthew J. 100% 88% 45% 8% 1% -
153 LOVERAS Orlando S. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
154 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
155 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
156 KELLY William J. 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
157 ROSSELLO Gustavo J. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
158 CARLICK Benjamin W. 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
159 LEWICKI Max 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
160 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
160 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
162 VAN HAASTER Emile A. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
163 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4% -
164 HOLLAND Niklas 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
165 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7% -
166 GORDON-SAND Spencer 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
167 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
168 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
168 HERGAN Daniel 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
170 DIVENTI Paul W. 100% 96% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
170 GU Jeffrey 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
172 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
173 SHIH William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
173 PAIK Hyun K. 100% 100% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
175 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
176 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
177 DING Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
178 ROMANOV Michael 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
179 BARLETTA Joseph 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
180 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
181 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
182 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1% -
183 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 90% 46% 9% 1% - -
184 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
185 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
186 HU James (Jimmy) Y. 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
187 LI Alex 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
188 MA Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
189 SOHN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
190 LONG Quinton R. 100% 82% 33% 5% - -
191 HO Ryan J. 100% 98% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
192 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 73% 25% 3% - - -
193 GAUDREAU-POLLENDER Julien 100% 95% 64% 23% 4% - -
194 DZODZOS Michael 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
195 SLEDESKI Andrew 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
196 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
196 HEMPE Jake 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
198 ADLER Ian B. 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
199 YANG Adam 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
200 NOVACHENKO Nestor V. 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
200 TORO Alejandro 100% 95% 62% 18% 2% - -
200 URODOVSKIKH Evan 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
200 DUBE Charles-Hugo 100% 88% 53% 16% 2% - -
204 RYAN Connor Q. 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
204 CAI Jason Zhicheng 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
206 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
207 CHU Derek 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
208 PARK Luke J. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
209 VANNI Filippo A. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
209 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
211 BROOKES Scott L. 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
212 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 4% -
213 GAUDET Paul D. 100% 88% 48% 11% 1% - -
213 ADAMS Luke C. 100% 72% 27% 5% 1% - -
213 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
216 MILLER Braeden G. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 2%
217 THAI William 100% 81% 44% 14% 2% - -
218 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
219 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
220 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 97% 57% 11% 1% - -
221 ZHOU TIMMY 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 5% -
221 LEE Caden 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 32% 5%
223 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
224 HAYENGA Gary M. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
225 CHAN Anthony 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
226 BATRAK Alexander 100% 90% 47% 12% 1% -
227 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
228 MOHAMED Yaseen 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
229 BURTE Alexander J. 100% 72% 24% 3% - - -
229 CHOY Lucas B. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
229 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 5%
232 JOHNSON Cooper A. 100% 73% 25% 3% - - -
232 COOK John J. 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1% -
234 JANSEN Jesse 100% 61% 14% 1% - - -
235 BERGEN Thomas R. 100% 81% 35% 4% - - -
235 GUPTA Eashan 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
235 YE Kevin E. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
235 PETER Griffin 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3% -
239 MA Andrew 100% 65% 14% 1% - - -
240 MAO Connor 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.