Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Friday, November 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander - - - - 3% 25% 72%
2 CHEN Aiden - - 3% 17% 42% 39%
3 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
3 LEE Leo - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
5 MASKIN Mikhail - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
6 TANG Luke - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
7 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
8 CHEN Daniel - 3% 12% 29% 35% 19% 2%
9 CHEN Hayden - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
10 WANG Suian (Andy) 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
11 ZHANG jonathan - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 29%
12 MOSLEY Wally - - - 2% 12% 37% 49%
13 CHIANG William - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
14 KIM Brendan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
15 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
16 MILOWSKY Majai 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
17 YAO Ryan - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
18 CHEN Evan - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
19 DAI Jason - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
20 LIN Aiden 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
21 NOOL Aaron - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
22 LIU Austin - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
23 ARMSTRONG Payson - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
24 LAI Jayden - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
25 CAMP Liam Missing ID
26 ZHENG Jasper - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
27 KROPP Wesley - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
28 JIN Noah - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
29 KIM Siwoo 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
30 LI Jayden - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
31 JEONG Joseph 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
32 MAXWELL Taiga - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 2%
33 WANG Henry 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
34 YAO Irvine 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% -
35 SCHLUBACH Jasper 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
36 TANG Jayce 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
37 CAREY John - 1% 8% 24% 38% 26% 3%
38 SHAO Mason 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
39 GUJJA Rishabh - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
40 KUYKENDALL Logan 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
41 CHI Zachary 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
42 CHEN Benjamin 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
43 BUTLER Xavier 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
44 LIU YULIN 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
45 KOVAC Blake - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
46 KUYKENDALL Lucas 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
47 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm - 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
48 YOU Emmanuel 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
49 CHEN Regis 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
50 FANG Charlie - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
51 YONG Dylan 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
52 XU Yunfei(Dorian) - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
53 YOON Jonathan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
54 MA Joseph - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
55 LAI Jaxon 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
56 ZHANG Jacob 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
57 LI Sean - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
58 LIU FREDERICK - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
59 LEE Asher 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
60 LIM Shane 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% -
61 NG Remy 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
62 HONG Evan 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
63 ZHEN Maxwell 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
64 QU ethan 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
65 ZHANG Renkui 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
66 KIM Ian 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
67 PINCIROLI Tommaso 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
68 ZHAO Kyle Zekai - 3% 15% 32% 34% 14%
69 SHKOP Alexander 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
70 GOH Cayden 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
71 WANG William 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
71 FERNANDEZ ZAMBRANA Rafael Lucas 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
73 CHARNA Luca 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
74 YADAV Aarav 6% 25% 36% 25% 8% 1%
75 RICHARDSON Matthew 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
76 HWANG Christopher 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
77 JIN Jacob 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
78 KAZA Avyaan 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
79 YONG Connor 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
80 JAISING Kian 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
81 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
82 XI Eric 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
83 KWON Ryan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
84 ZHAO Brandon 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
84 YU Luca 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
86 GORE Noah 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
87 CHEUNG Daniel 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
88 YIN Henry Missing ID
89 YAN Milan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
90 GOOD Adam 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
91 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
92 ZHOU Silvan 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
92 PRIETO Cole 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
94 BUCHNER Theodore - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
95 LAW Benjamin 14% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
96 ZHU David 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
97 ZHU Kingsley 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
98 VAN RIET Matteo 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
98 CRUZ Juno 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
98 YU MAXIMILIAN 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
101 HWANG Chase 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
102 TAN Wyatt 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
103 LUO Sebastian 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
104 LEONARDIS Jordan 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
105 CARPENTER Taisei 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
106 IVANOV Andrew 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
107 LEE Taeryum 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
108 YANG JULIAN 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
109 SALIBA Jackson 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
110 GAO Kevin 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
111 LU Shawn 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.