Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Friday, November 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
3 LEE Leo 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
5 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
6 TANG Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
7 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
8 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 22% 2%
9 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
10 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
11 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
12 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
13 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
14 KIM Brendan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
15 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
16 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
17 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
18 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
19 DAI Jason 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
20 LIN Aiden 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3%
21 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
22 LIU Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
23 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
24 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
25 CAMP Liam Missing ID
26 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
27 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
28 JIN Noah 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
29 KIM Siwoo 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3% -
30 LI Jayden 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
31 JEONG Joseph 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 2%
32 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
33 WANG Henry 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
34 YAO Irvine 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% -
35 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
36 TANG Jayce 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
37 CAREY John 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 3%
38 SHAO Mason 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
39 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
40 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
41 CHI Zachary 100% 93% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
42 CHEN Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
43 BUTLER Xavier 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
44 LIU YULIN 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
45 KOVAC Blake 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
46 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
47 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 7%
48 YOU Emmanuel 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
49 CHEN Regis 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
50 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
51 YONG Dylan 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
52 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
53 YOON Jonathan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
54 MA Joseph 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
55 LAI Jaxon 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
56 ZHANG Jacob 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
57 LI Sean 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
58 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
59 LEE Asher 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
60 LIM Shane 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% -
61 NG Remy 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
62 HONG Evan 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
63 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
64 QU ethan 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
65 ZHANG Renkui 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
66 KIM Ian 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
67 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
68 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
69 SHKOP Alexander 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
70 GOH Cayden 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
71 WANG William 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
71 FERNANDEZ ZAMBRANA Rafael Lucas 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
73 CHARNA Luca 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
74 YADAV Aarav 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
75 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
76 HWANG Christopher 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
77 JIN Jacob 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
78 KAZA Avyaan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
79 YONG Connor 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
80 JAISING Kian 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
81 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
82 XI Eric 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
83 KWON Ryan 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
84 ZHAO Brandon 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
84 YU Luca 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
86 GORE Noah 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
87 CHEUNG Daniel 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
88 YIN Henry Missing ID
89 YAN Milan 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
90 GOOD Adam 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
91 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
92 ZHOU Silvan 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
92 PRIETO Cole 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
94 BUCHNER Theodore 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
95 LAW Benjamin 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
96 ZHU David 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
97 ZHU Kingsley 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
98 VAN RIET Matteo 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% -
98 CRUZ Juno 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
98 YU MAXIMILIAN 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
101 HWANG Chase 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
102 TAN Wyatt 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
103 LUO Sebastian 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
104 LEONARDIS Jordan 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
105 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
106 IVANOV Andrew 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
107 LEE Taeryum 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% -
108 YANG JULIAN 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
109 SALIBA Jackson 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
110 GAO Kevin 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
111 LU Shawn 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.