Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Henrik - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
2 HU Simon - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 LI Nathan - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 1%
3 CHEN Luca - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
5 CONSTANTINE Leonidas - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
6 WANG Russell - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
7 ILICHEV Timur - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
8 ZHANG Leon - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 12%
9 MANGINI Lorenzo - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
11 WONG Jacob - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
12 FRANTZ Ken - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
13 LEVY Rafa 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
15 KWON Joon 1% 4% 16% 29% 30% 16% 4%
16 MULCAHEY Kieran 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
17 KIM Colin - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
18 MEROLLA Luca - - 4% 18% 40% 33% 5%
19 BROOKS Grant 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
20 LEE Augustine 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
21 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
22 QIAO Jason 3% 22% 45% 29%
23 CAO Osmond 27% 45% 24% 4%
24 JOHN Christian 1% 5% 16% 29% 30% 16% 4%
25 GHIM Ethan - - 5% 21% 42% 31%
27 ZHU Zhengrui - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
28 WANG Thomas 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
29 VINCENT Yian 1% 6% 18% 30% 28% 14% 3%
30 GUO Zi-Yang 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
31 JIANG Elvin 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
32 CHEN Jayden 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
33 BORROK Andrew - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
34 KO Logan - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
35 PASQUALE Roman - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4%
36 LERMAN Elan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
37 FERRARO Antonio 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% - -
38 LASS Edward 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
39 PACIUS Chase 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
40 GU Gordon 2% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
41 GUO Aiden 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
42 GIMBRERE Arthur - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
43 CHEN Nathan 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
44 QIU Lucas 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
45 GENTELA Pradyumna 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
47 TAUR Marcus 9% 34% 42% 15%
47 ZHANG Ethan 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
49 NAYAK Kush 4% 18% 31% 28% 14% 4% -
50 GAO Frederick 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
51 POLITO Anthony 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
52 CIECIEREGA Michael 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
53 GARCIA Francisco 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
54 MCCAFFREY Balthazar 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
55 LIU Victor 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
56 FERRARO Marco 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
57 SHI Henry 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
58 DU Justin 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
59 TIAN Michael 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
60 MOREHOUSE Jack 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
60 LIANG Henry 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
63 TARDIFF Finn 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
64 PETROSYAN David 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
65 NG Ethan 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
66 BUCKLEY Charlie 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
67 YOU Nathan 17% 42% 33% 8%
68 PACIUS Ryder 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
69 SAUDEK Felix 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
70 GU Xunmo < 1% 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.