Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
2 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 LI Nathan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 1%
3 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
5 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
6 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
7 ILICHEV Timur 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
8 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 12%
9 MANGINI Lorenzo 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
11 WONG Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
12 FRANTZ Ken 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
13 LEVY Rafa 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
15 KWON Joon 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 20% 4%
16 MULCAHEY Kieran 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
17 KIM Colin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
18 MEROLLA Luca 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
19 BROOKS Grant 100% 99% 92% 72% 41% 15% 2%
20 LEE Augustine 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
21 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
22 QIAO Jason 100% 97% 74% 29%
23 CAO Osmond 100% 73% 27% 4%
24 JOHN Christian 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 20% 4%
25 GHIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
27 ZHU Zhengrui 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
28 WANG Thomas 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
29 VINCENT Yian 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 17% 3%
30 GUO Zi-Yang 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
31 JIANG Elvin 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
32 CHEN Jayden 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
33 BORROK Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
34 KO Logan 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
35 PASQUALE Roman 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
36 LERMAN Elan 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 8% 1%
37 FERRARO Antonio 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
38 LASS Edward 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
39 PACIUS Chase 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
40 GU Gordon 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
41 GUO Aiden 100% 96% 79% 49% 20% 5% -
42 GIMBRERE Arthur 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
43 CHEN Nathan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
44 QIU Lucas 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
45 GENTELA Pradyumna 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
47 TAUR Marcus 100% 91% 57% 15%
47 ZHANG Ethan 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
49 NAYAK Kush 100% 96% 77% 46% 18% 4% -
50 GAO Frederick 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
51 POLITO Anthony 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
52 CIECIEREGA Michael 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
53 GARCIA Francisco 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
54 MCCAFFREY Balthazar 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
55 LIU Victor 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
56 FERRARO Marco 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
57 SHI Henry 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
58 DU Justin 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
59 TIAN Michael 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
60 MOREHOUSE Jack 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
60 LIANG Henry 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
63 TARDIFF Finn 100% 97% 82% 53% 23% 6% 1%
64 PETROSYAN David 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
65 NG Ethan 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
66 BUCKLEY Charlie 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
67 YOU Nathan 100% 83% 41% 8%
68 PACIUS Ryder 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
69 SAUDEK Felix 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
70 GU Xunmo 100% 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.