Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Terrance - - - 2% 18% 52% 28%
2 WU Wallace - - - - 2% 18% 81%
3 HUANG Dalynn - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
3 LYU Brandon - - - 1% 11% 44% 44%
5 YOON Mason - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
6 LIU Bradley - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
7 CAO Aaron - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
8 WILSON Jacob - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
9 LIN Lucas - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
10 ZHANG William - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
11 CHEN Keegan - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
12 ZHANG Eric - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
13 XIONG Jeffrey 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
14 XIA Wenhao - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
15 YANG Luca - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
16 SU Sean - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
17 TARDIFF Owen - - 4% 17% 37% 35% 8%
18 PARK Joshua - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
19 GENG Vincent - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
20 SHEN Lawrence - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
21 WU Yulen - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
22 YIN Luke 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
23 WANG Leon - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
24 CASCONE Raffaele 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
25 HUANG Owen 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
26 MENG Andy 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% -
27 KANAN Noland - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 14%
28 MOON Nolan 1% 12% 36% 38% 13%
29 JAZWINSKI Archer 28% 46% 22% 4% -
30 HUANG Lucas - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
31 HAN Jayden - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
32 YU Ethan - 1% 6% 22% 38% 26% 6%
33 STARK Ethan - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11% 1%
34 BROD Baylin 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
35 LU Ethan - 1% 11% 34% 42% 12%
36 FAN Oscar 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% -
37 AN Graham 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
38 CHEN Jesse - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10% 1%
39 FANG Lionel - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
40 CAI Charlie 3% 18% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
41 KIM ISAAC 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
42 DEL VALLE-LIN Julian 1% 15% 38% 34% 11% 1% -
43 LIN Tyler 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
43 HO Marcus 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% -
45 SHUKLA Arjoon 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
46 WANG Eason 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 2%
47 ZHANG Andrew 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
48 CREMEL Louis 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
49 SUN Neil 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
50 LIU KUNDE 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
51 LIN Alexander 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
52 MOSAMEH Faraj 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
53 LU Jason 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
53 LIU Yuyang 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
55 LI Ethan 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
56 LEE Joshua - 1% 9% 28% 41% 19% 2%
57 JIANG Alexander 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
58 LIU Charles - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
59 NIU Charlie 1% 11% 35% 38% 13% 1% -
60 CHIN Iker 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
61 KIM JOSHUA 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
64 LIU Benji - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
65 MOTYKIEWICZ Jan 9% 35% 38% 16% 2% -
66 DVORNEK Everett 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
67 HAN Owen 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
68 QU Even 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
69 RICE Henry 31% 42% 21% 5% - - -
70 HWANG Samuel 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
71 VASYLYSHYN Vadym 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
72 CHIANG Dean 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
73 BOSYKH Igor 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
74 CHEN Jonathan 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
75 CHEN Aidan 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
76 LU Eli 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
77 FLINT Ashton 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
78 LI William 25% 44% 25% 6% -
79 ZHU Winston 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
80 XIONG David 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
80 KHALIKOV Michael 42% 44% 12% 1% - - -
82 NATURMAN Noah 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.