Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Terrance - - - 2% 15% 52% 32%
2 WU Wallace - - - - 1% 16% 82%
3 HUANG Dalynn - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
3 LYU Brandon - - - 1% 11% 46% 43%
5 YOON Mason - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
6 LIU Bradley - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
7 CAO Aaron - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
8 WILSON Jacob - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
9 LIN Lucas - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
10 ZHANG William - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
11 CHEN Keegan - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
12 ZHANG Eric - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
13 XIONG Jeffrey 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
14 XIA Wenhao - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
15 YANG Luca - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
16 SU Sean - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
17 TARDIFF Owen - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 8%
18 PARK Joshua - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
19 GENG Vincent - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
20 SHEN Lawrence - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
21 WU Yulen - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
22 YIN Luke 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
23 WANG Leon - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
24 CASCONE Raffaele 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
25 HUANG Owen 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
26 MENG Andy 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
27 KANAN Noland - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
28 MOON Nolan 1% 11% 34% 39% 14%
29 JAZWINSKI Archer 27% 46% 22% 4% -
30 HUANG Lucas - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
31 HAN Jayden - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
32 YU Ethan - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
33 STARK Ethan - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10% 1%
34 BROD Baylin 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 2% -
35 LU Ethan - 1% 11% 35% 41% 11%
36 FAN Oscar 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
37 AN Graham 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
38 CHEN Jesse - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
39 FANG Lionel - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
40 CAI Charlie 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
41 KIM ISAAC 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
42 DEL VALLE-LIN Julian 1% 15% 38% 34% 11% 1% -
43 LIN Tyler 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
43 HO Marcus 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
45 SHUKLA Arjoon 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
46 WANG Eason 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2%
47 ZHANG Andrew 4% 23% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
48 CREMEL Louis 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
49 SUN Neil 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
50 LIU KUNDE 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
51 LIN Alexander 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
52 MOSAMEH Faraj 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
53 LU Jason 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
53 LIU Yuyang 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
55 LI Ethan 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
56 LEE Joshua - 1% 9% 28% 40% 20% 3%
57 JIANG Alexander 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
58 LIU Charles - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
59 NIU Charlie 1% 11% 35% 38% 13% 1% -
60 CHIN Iker 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
61 KIM JOSHUA 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
62 MA Leo Missing ID
63 WENG Luke Missing ID
64 LIU Benji - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
65 MOTYKIEWICZ Jan 9% 35% 38% 15% 2% -
66 DVORNEK Everett 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
67 HAN Owen 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
68 QU Even 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
69 RICE Henry 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
70 HWANG Samuel 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
71 VASYLYSHYN Vadym 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
72 CHIANG Dean 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
73 BOSYKH Igor 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
74 CHEN Jonathan 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
75 CHEN Aidan 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
76 LU Eli 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
77 FLINT Ashton 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
78 LI William 24% 44% 26% 6% 1%
79 ZHU Winston 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
80 XIONG David 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
80 KHALIKOV Michael 42% 44% 12% 1% - - -
82 NATURMAN Noah 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.