Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Friday, December 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Gi Beom - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
2 WANG Tiger - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
3 WANG Waylon - - 1% 6% 27% 46% 20%
3 LYU Brandon - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
5 YANG Steve - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
6 XU Ethan - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
7 WU Gengze (Daniel) - 1% 10% 36% 40% 12% 1%
8 MURDOCK Koichi - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
9 RAU Shogun - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
10 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
11 CHEN Steven - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
12 TAN Alan 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 12% 2%
13 MAZAHERI John - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
14 ZHANG Aiden - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
15 LEE Ryan 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
16 LI Aaron - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
17 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
18 PARK Kaiden - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
19 YU Ethan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
20 CREMEL Remi - - 5% 24% 41% 26% 4%
21 SINGH Reyaansh 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
22 SUN Lucas - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
23 SLAIN Owen - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
23 PESKIN Kepler - 1% 8% 29% 39% 21% 3%
25 TAO Jiemi - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
26 ZHANG William - - 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
27 WANG Eason - 1% 9% 30% 40% 17% 2%
27 BHANGOO Arman 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% -
29 CHEN Dante 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
30 JIN Yucheng - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8%
31 SHENOY sean - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
32 GU Evan 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
33 LIN Sampson - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
34 FOO Kingston - 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
35 YAN Aaron 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
36 MAZAHERI Theodore - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
37 LI Yunze - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
38 JUE Lucas - 7% 29% 40% 21% 3%
39 MENG Andy 2% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
40 ZENG Cayden 6% 31% 40% 19% 4% -
41 TIKHONOV Aleksandr 1% 12% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
42 ROSOWSKY Phoenix - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
43 SHA Lambor(Laien) - 6% 26% 40% 24% 4%
45 ZHANG Bryant 16% 47% 29% 7% 1% -
46 LEE Juneau 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
47 LIU Aiden 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
48 DONG YIKUN 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
49 LIN Dylan 4% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1%
50 CHENG Alvin 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
51 TROYANKER Makar 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
52 CAO Benjamin - 2% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
53 LEE Joshua - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
53 XU Daniel 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
56 CHANG Owen 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
57 HUANG Aaron Jingyuan 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
58 XU Benjamin 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
59 HUANG Owen - 4% 19% 39% 31% 8%
60 LI Mason 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 2% -
61 YIN Luke 6% 28% 41% 20% 4% - -
61 TAN Benjamin 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
63 BAGWELL Theodore 9% 38% 37% 14% 2% - -
64 ZHANG alex 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
65 KAJITA Grayson 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
66 KIM Ryan 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
67 BROD Baylin 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
68 SHENOY Neil 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
69 CHEN XianBin - 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 6%
70 MENG Eric 8% 26% 35% 22% 8% 1% -
71 WONG Sebastian 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
72 KUK Francis 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
73 CHEN Ian 7% 48% 35% 9% 1% - -
74 WANG Andy 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
75 STOCK Ian 54% 37% 9% 1% - - -
75 KIM Ryan 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
77 HOAR Luke 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
78 ZUO Thomas 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
79 NGO Lincoln 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
80 SINGH Shiv 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
81 WEST Kai 51% 39% 9% 1% - -
82 ZHOU Milo 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
83 PENG Max 78% 21% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.