Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Friday, December 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Gi Beom 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
2 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 WANG Waylon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
3 LYU Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
5 YANG Steve 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
6 XU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
7 WU Gengze (Daniel) 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 13% 1%
8 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 20%
9 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
10 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
11 CHEN Steven 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
12 TAN Alan 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
13 MAZAHERI John 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
14 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
15 LEE Ryan 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
16 LI Aaron 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
17 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
18 PARK Kaiden 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
19 YU Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
20 CREMEL Remi 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
21 SINGH Reyaansh 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
22 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 4%
23 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
23 PESKIN Kepler 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
25 TAO Jiemi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
26 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
27 WANG Eason 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
27 BHANGOO Arman 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% -
29 CHEN Dante 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
30 JIN Yucheng 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
31 SHENOY sean 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
32 GU Evan 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
33 LIN Sampson 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
34 FOO Kingston 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
35 YAN Aaron 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
36 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 2%
37 LI Yunze 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
38 JUE Lucas 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
39 MENG Andy 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
40 ZENG Cayden 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
41 TIKHONOV Aleksandr 100% 99% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
42 ROSOWSKY Phoenix 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
43 SHA Lambor(Laien) 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
45 ZHANG Bryant 100% 84% 37% 8% 1% -
46 LEE Juneau 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
47 LIU Aiden 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
48 DONG YIKUN 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
49 LIN Dylan 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1%
50 CHENG Alvin 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
51 TROYANKER Makar 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
52 CAO Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
53 LEE Joshua 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
53 XU Daniel 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
56 CHANG Owen 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
57 HUANG Aaron Jingyuan 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% - -
58 XU Benjamin 100% 87% 51% 18% 4% - -
59 HUANG Owen 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
60 LI Mason 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
61 YIN Luke 100% 94% 66% 25% 5% - -
61 TAN Benjamin 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2%
63 BAGWELL Theodore 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% - -
64 ZHANG alex 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
65 KAJITA Grayson 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
66 KIM Ryan 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
67 BROD Baylin 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
68 SHENOY Neil 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
69 CHEN XianBin 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
70 MENG Eric 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
71 WONG Sebastian 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
72 KUK Francis 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
73 CHEN Ian 100% 93% 45% 10% 1% - -
74 WANG Andy 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
75 STOCK Ian 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
75 KIM Ryan 100% 68% 25% 5% 1% - -
77 HOAR Luke 100% 86% 46% 14% 2% - -
78 ZUO Thomas 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
79 NGO Lincoln 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
80 SINGH Shiv 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
81 WEST Kai 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
82 ZHOU Milo 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
83 PENG Max 100% 22% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.