Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Friday, December 5, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 25%
2 ZHAO Ellie 100% 99% 89% 53% 8%
3 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
3 MIAO Anthea 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
5 CHI Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
6 HERNASA Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
7 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
8 KOU Cynthia 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1%
9 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
11 LI Allison 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 4%
12 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
13 ERISMAN Gabriella 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
14 YIP Allison 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
15 VINLUAN Emma 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
16 CIOBANU Celine 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
17 LIAO irene 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
18 LU Chloe 100% 100% 94% 67% 23% 1%
19 MIXON Ivory 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
20 YU Chloe 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
21 LI Carlie 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1%
22 XU Amy(Chenyu) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
23 DEJOY Leilah 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% -
24 THOMAS Mackenzie 100% 97% 69% 26% 4% -
25 HUANG Jui-An 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 4% -
26 FLYNN Kensington 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
27 VOO Evelyn 100% 98% 81% 41% 8% -
29 SUN Joanna 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
30 PARKE Jaime 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
31 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
32 KOHLER Chrissy 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
33 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 100% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
34 DEKERMANJI kate 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
35 YANG Nina 100% 92% 59% 16% 1%
36 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 92% 56% 16% 2% -
37 YOON Claire 100% 97% 72% 28% 4% -
38 ZHU Anna 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
39 HUANG Sophie 100% 77% 31% 5% -
40 VISHWA Nishta 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
41 TRUONG Chloe 100% 71% 25% 3% -
42 BACK Ella 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
43 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
44 CHONG Emma 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
45 PAK Ella 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
47 LEE Layla 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
48 FLESHER Mia 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
49 BEATINGO Chelli 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
50 KANE Sloan 100% 35% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.