Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, December 5, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUC Cedric - - 1% 16% 57% 26%
2 VO Blake - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
3 LEE Nathan Uju - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
3 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - - - 5% 28% 67%
5 DOOLEY Atticus - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13%
6 GRIGORIEV Roman - - - 5% 31% 63%
7 GATTO Enzo P. - 1% 9% 31% 42% 18%
8 XIAO Brayden - - - - 6% 34% 59%
9 TANG Morgan - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
10 HE Zhikai (kyle) - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
11 TENG Lucas - - 11% 36% 39% 14%
12 CHAN Troy Devon - - 8% 32% 42% 18%
13 GOTTSCHALK Theodore - 6% 28% 41% 21% 3%
14 HWANG Hagan - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
15 LO Elroy 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2%
16 WONG Ron - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
17 LI Ryan - - 1% 10% 30% 42% 17%
18 QI Jeremy - 3% 20% 42% 30% 5%
19 KIM Enoch 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
20 CHEN Zhengming 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
21 FISCHER Noel - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 6%
22 XIE Justin 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
23 LIU Baichen (Matthew) - 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% -
23 LIU Nico 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
25 HAO Johnny - - 7% 30% 43% 20%
26 HRISTOV Nickolas - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13%
27 SRIVATSAV Ishaan - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
28 YUEN Caleb - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
29 LIU Clarence 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
30 PI Edwin 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
31 LUO Gavin - 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
32 LVOVSKIY Roman 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 10%
33 KIM Leo - 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 2%
34 NAIR Sujit - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
35 LOPEZ Mateo 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
36 GONZALEZ Paul 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
37 SAHA Aadi 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
38 AN Chris - - 2% 15% 38% 37% 8%
39 SRIVATSAV Anay - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
40 CHEN Aaron 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
41 HAN Kyle - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
42 MOROAICA Seiku 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
43 WANG Ryan 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 8% 1%
44 CHOI LIAM 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
45 HO Alden 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
46 FUGATE Logan 1% 10% 36% 38% 14% 2%
46 SAHA Aryan 12% 46% 32% 9% 1% -
48 SLOAN Ethan 1% 8% 31% 40% 18% 2%
49 ELSAYED Yahia 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 1%
50 YANG Jake - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
51 ZHOU Ruibo 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
52 RAMBHIA Smit 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% -
53 SU Eric - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
55 FERRING Theo 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
56 WU Lucas 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
57 TONG Evan - 6% 37% 39% 15% 2%
58 LIU Paul 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
59 KIM Derek 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
60 GU Dean - 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
61 CAO Chuck 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
62 EKAMBARAM Rithik - 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% -
63 DESAI Arthav 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
64 YANG Aegon - 5% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
65 DENG Richard 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
66 RAZAI Evan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
67 KUNIMOTO Adam 17% 46% 29% 7% 1% - -
68 XING Xueyuan 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
69 FU BRANDEN - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
70 WANG James - 7% 31% 41% 19% 2%
71 WU Allen 24% 47% 24% 5% - -
72 NGUYEN Ethan 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
73 HORN Diodorus 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
74 LEI Isaac 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
75 WANG Darren 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
76 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
77 HE Richard 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
78 DUFF Michael - 7% 29% 40% 21% 3%
79 WOLLOW Bennett 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
80 WU Dustin 36% 45% 16% 2% - -
81 LOH Dylan 59% 37% 4% - - -
82 STANTON William 43% 44% 12% 1% - -
83 LEE Brendan - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
84 JI Derek 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
86 IVERSON Niels 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
86 PALOMBO Gabriel 48% 40% 10% 1% - - -
88 RHODES Bryce 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
89 CHEN Harrison 35% 42% 18% 4% - -
90 LOVELL Jackson 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
91 SHI Jeremy 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
92 LEE Bill King 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
93 HSIEH Maxwell 1% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1% -
94 ELSAYED Omar 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
95 RAPHAEL Pierson 23% 48% 24% 5% - -
96 JUNG Andres 88% 12% 1% - - - -
97 STERN Kazuki 27% 60% 13% 1% - -
98 HADFIELD Gavin 62% 33% 5% - - -
99 NG Jaden 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.