Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, December 5, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 26%
2 VO Blake 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
3 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
5 DOOLEY Atticus 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
6 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
7 GATTO Enzo P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
8 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
9 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
10 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
11 TENG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 89% 53% 14%
12 CHAN Troy Devon 100% 100% 100% 92% 60% 18%
13 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 100% 93% 65% 24% 3%
14 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
15 LO Elroy 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
16 WONG Ron 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
17 LI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 17%
18 QI Jeremy 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 5%
19 KIM Enoch 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
20 CHEN Zhengming 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
21 FISCHER Noel 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 6%
22 XIE Justin 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
23 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
23 LIU Nico 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
25 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 20%
26 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
27 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
28 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
29 LIU Clarence 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
30 PI Edwin 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 12% 1%
31 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 12% 1%
32 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
33 KIM Leo 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 2%
34 NAIR Sujit 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
35 LOPEZ Mateo 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
36 GONZALEZ Paul 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
37 SAHA Aadi 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
38 AN Chris 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 8%
39 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
40 CHEN Aaron 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
41 HAN Kyle 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
42 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
43 WANG Ryan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
44 CHOI LIAM 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 10% 1%
45 HO Alden 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
46 FUGATE Logan 100% 99% 90% 54% 16% 2%
46 SAHA Aryan 100% 88% 42% 9% 1% -
48 SLOAN Ethan 100% 99% 92% 60% 20% 2%
49 ELSAYED Yahia 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 1%
50 YANG Jake 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
51 ZHOU Ruibo 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
52 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
53 SU Eric 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
55 FERRING Theo 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
56 WU Lucas 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
57 TONG Evan 100% 100% 93% 56% 17% 2%
58 LIU Paul 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
59 KIM Derek 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
60 GU Dean 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
61 CAO Chuck 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
62 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% -
63 DESAI Arthav 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
64 YANG Aegon 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
65 DENG Richard 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
66 RAZAI Evan 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 4%
67 KUNIMOTO Adam 100% 83% 37% 8% 1% - -
68 XING Xueyuan 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
69 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
70 WANG James 100% 100% 92% 62% 21% 2%
71 WU Allen 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
72 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
73 HORN Diodorus 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
74 LEI Isaac 100% 96% 76% 40% 13% 2% -
75 WANG Darren 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
76 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
77 HE Richard 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
78 DUFF Michael 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
79 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
80 WU Dustin 100% 64% 19% 2% - -
81 LOH Dylan 100% 41% 4% - - -
82 STANTON William 100% 57% 13% 1% - -
83 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
84 JI Derek 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
86 IVERSON Niels 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
86 PALOMBO Gabriel 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
88 RHODES Bryce 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
89 CHEN Harrison 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
90 LOVELL Jackson 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
91 SHI Jeremy 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
92 LEE Bill King 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
93 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
94 ELSAYED Omar 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
95 RAPHAEL Pierson 100% 77% 29% 5% - -
96 JUNG Andres 100% 12% 1% - - - -
97 STERN Kazuki 100% 73% 14% 1% - -
98 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 38% 5% - - -
99 NG Jaden 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.