Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOPEZ Mateo - - 4% 23% 46% 27%
2 YUEN Caleb - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
3 LUO Gavin - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
3 LEE Kyle - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
5 SU Eric - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 9%
6 MOROAICA Seiku - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
7 FU BRANDEN - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
8 TABANCAY Cole - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
9 RAZAI Evan - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
10 QI Zach - 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
11 LVOVSKIY Roman - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
12 LI Jason - 1% 8% 33% 43% 16%
13 FAKHRI Adrian - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
14 WANG David - 1% 7% 20% 34% 28% 9%
15 YE Aaron - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
16 DING Orlando 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
17 HSIEH Sebastian - 2% 14% 39% 35% 10%
18 DENG Richard - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5%
19 ZHANG Hanzhi - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 6%
20 ELSAYED Omar - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
21 WANG Henrik - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
22 CHEN Aaron - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
23 CHUNG Evan - 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
24 CHOI LIAM - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
25 DESAI Arthav - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
26 LIU Nico - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
27 YANG Aegon - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
28 DUFF Michael - - 3% 20% 45% 32%
29 HSIEH Maxwell 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
30 WANG James - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
30 PI Edwin - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
32 RAMOS Pious 4% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
33 LEI Isaac 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 6% 1%
34 XING Xueyuan - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
35 CAO Chuck - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
36 CHEN Harrison 1% 7% 28% 41% 20% 3%
37 LI Edward 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
38 EKAMBARAM Rithik 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
39 LOVELL Jackson 11% 37% 35% 15% 3% - -
40 HE Richard 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
41 WU Allen 8% 36% 37% 16% 3% -
42 JI Derek 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
43 XIN Ryan 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
44 BERKI wyatt 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
45 LAD Anish 11% 37% 38% 12% 2% -
46 GUO ATTICUS 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
47 FAN Yuchen 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
48 WOLLOW Bennett 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
49 FERRING Theo 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
50 GALANG Aiden - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
51 FAN Yuen 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
52 NG Jaden 28% 45% 22% 5% - - -
53 SUN Alan 1% 9% 31% 39% 17% 3% -
54 HADFIELD Gavin 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
55 LEE Hubert Junhu 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
56 ZHU Mason 19% 43% 30% 7% 1% -
57 WU August 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
58 CHEN Donovan 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
59 PALOMBO Gabriel 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
60 ZHENG Matt 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
61 LIN Rongcheng Noah 38% 41% 17% 3% - -
62 WU Aiden 54% 36% 8% 1% - -
63 BOURCIER Rowan 26% 46% 22% 5% - - -
63 CHAN Ethan 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
65 LIU Jayden 18% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
66 CHEN Maorui 8% 34% 38% 16% 3% - -
67 QIAO Jason 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1%
68 KIM Dylan 25% 45% 25% 5% - -
69 CONCANNON Jackson 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% -
70 NGUYEN Tristan 63% 31% 5% - - - -
71 JIANG Hardy < 1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
72 GOURJI Roman 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.