Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOPEZ Mateo 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
2 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
3 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
3 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
5 SU Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
6 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
7 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
8 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
9 RAZAI Evan 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
10 QI Zach 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
11 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
12 LI Jason 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
13 FAKHRI Adrian 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
14 WANG David 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
15 YE Aaron 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
16 DING Orlando 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
17 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
18 DENG Richard 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
19 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 6%
20 ELSAYED Omar 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
21 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
22 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
23 CHUNG Evan 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
24 CHOI LIAM 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
25 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
26 LIU Nico 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
27 YANG Aegon 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
28 DUFF Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
29 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1%
30 WANG James 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
30 PI Edwin 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
32 RAMOS Pious 100% 96% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
33 LEI Isaac 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% 1%
34 XING Xueyuan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
35 CAO Chuck 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
36 CHEN Harrison 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
37 LI Edward 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
38 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
39 LOVELL Jackson 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
40 HE Richard 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
41 WU Allen 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% -
42 JI Derek 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
43 XIN Ryan 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
44 BERKI wyatt 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
45 LAD Anish 100% 89% 52% 14% 2% -
46 GUO ATTICUS 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
47 FAN Yuchen 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 6% -
48 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
49 FERRING Theo 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
50 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
51 FAN Yuen 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
52 NG Jaden 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
53 SUN Alan 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3% -
54 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 54% 13% 2% - - -
55 LEE Hubert Junhu 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
56 ZHU Mason 100% 81% 37% 7% 1% -
57 WU August 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
58 CHEN Donovan 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
59 PALOMBO Gabriel 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
60 ZHENG Matt 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
61 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
62 WU Aiden 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
63 BOURCIER Rowan 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
63 CHAN Ethan 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
65 LIU Jayden 100% 82% 39% 8% 1% -
66 CHEN Maorui 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
67 QIAO Jason 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
68 KIM Dylan 100% 75% 30% 5% - -
69 CONCANNON Jackson 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% -
70 NGUYEN Tristan 100% 37% 6% - - - -
71 JIANG Hardy 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
72 GOURJI Roman 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.