Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SU Samuel - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
2 YAO Tristan - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
3 VOO Lucas - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
3 PARKE Nathaniel - - - 2% 16% 49% 33%
5 DU Evan - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
6 PARRA Lucas - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
7 TANG Michael - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
8 DENG Destin - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 11%
9 XUE Michael - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
10 LIN Daniel - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
11 WONG Aaron - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18%
12 WANG Lucas - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
13 CHEN Jayden - - - 2% 15% 47% 36%
14 LEE Lucas - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
15 WHITE Ryden - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 15%
16 RONG Gordon - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
17 BERTEL Florian - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
18 SRIKANTH Hariharan - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
19 ADDLEMAN Joshua - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
20 FU Nolan - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
21 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
22 OLIVAS Joseph 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
23 NGUYEN Ethan V. 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
24 HWANG Matthew - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9%
25 RONG Marcus - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 10%
26 WONG Kyle - 3% 13% 31% 35% 15% 2%
27 HUA Nolan - 6% 26% 41% 23% 4% -
28 SHIH Derek 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
28 MAI Sy 1% 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
30 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 4% 20% 39% 30% 6%
31 MOSLEY Wally - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
32 LIU Yihong - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
33 SHOURIE Neel 2% 23% 41% 26% 7% 1%
34 ONG David 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
35 KIM Daniel - 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
36 CHAN JR Jason - - 2% 11% 32% 41% 15%
37 LIN Bryan 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
38 DING Max - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
39 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
40 ENG Kyler - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
41 SAMIMI Sina - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
42 CROY Felix 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
43 LU Ian - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
44 ROBERTS Arthur - 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 3%
45 HAN Alex 1% 16% 39% 33% 10% 1% -
46 SHOURIE Seth 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
47 KONG William 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
48 GUO Jonathan - 5% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
49 WU Nathan - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
50 LAU Caleb 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
51 YU Brandon 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
52 FERRIERE Theo 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
53 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8% 1%
54 TIAN Dylan 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
55 LEE Leo 2% 13% 34% 36% 15% 2%
56 JU Shang 2% 24% 41% 25% 7% 1%
58 SZETO Zachary 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
59 CHU Clayton 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
60 HUANG Eason 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
61 MAZAHERI Theodore 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
62 KOU Mason 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
63 LI Connor 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
64 ZHANG Jenson 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
65 YOO Lucas 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
66 YUN Mason 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
67 YUN Nicholas 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
68 TAVERNA Matteo 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
69 NG Alexander 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
70 AKKARA Skyler 23% 49% 23% 4% - - -
71 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 9% 39% 37% 14% 2% - -
72 LI Vance 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
73 CHI Zachary 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
74 YIM Antonio 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
75 LIU Aiden 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
76 LIU William 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
77 CHIEN Ian 11% 36% 36% 15% 2% -
78 FONG Ethan 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
79 ZHAO Luke 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
80 FU Benjamin 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
81 KIM Hayden 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
83 BROWN Sean 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
84 YOON Ian 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
86 PARK Sean 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
87 JI Dylan 58% 35% 7% 1% - - -
88 BALDWIN Liam 45% 43% 11% 1% - - -
89 LU Mark 77% 21% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.