Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SU Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
2 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
3 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
3 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33%
5 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
6 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
7 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
8 DENG Destin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
9 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
11 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
12 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
13 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
14 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
15 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
16 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
17 BERTEL Florian 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
18 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
19 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
20 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
21 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
22 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
23 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
24 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
25 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
26 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
27 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4% -
28 SHIH Derek 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
28 MAI Sy 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 3% -
30 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
31 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
32 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
33 SHOURIE Neel 100% 98% 75% 33% 7% 1%
34 ONG David 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
35 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 94% 73% 33% 5%
36 CHAN JR Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
37 LIN Bryan 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
38 DING Max 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
39 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
40 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
41 SAMIMI Sina 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
42 CROY Felix 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
43 LU Ian 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
44 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
45 HAN Alex 100% 99% 83% 44% 11% 1% -
46 SHOURIE Seth 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
47 KONG William 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
48 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
49 WU Nathan 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
50 LAU Caleb 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
51 YU Brandon 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
52 FERRIERE Theo 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
53 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8% 1%
54 TIAN Dylan 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
55 LEE Leo 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
56 JU Shang 100% 98% 74% 33% 7% 1%
58 SZETO Zachary 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
59 CHU Clayton 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
60 HUANG Eason 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
61 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
62 KOU Mason 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
63 LI Connor 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
64 ZHANG Jenson 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
65 YOO Lucas 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
66 YUN Mason 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
67 YUN Nicholas 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
68 TAVERNA Matteo 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
69 NG Alexander 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
70 AKKARA Skyler 100% 77% 28% 5% - - -
71 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% - -
72 LI Vance 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
73 CHI Zachary 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
74 YIM Antonio 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
75 LIU Aiden 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
76 LIU William 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
77 CHIEN Ian 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
78 FONG Ethan 100% 60% 18% 2% - -
79 ZHAO Luke 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
80 FU Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
81 KIM Hayden 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
83 BROWN Sean 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
84 YOON Ian 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
86 PARK Sean 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
87 JI Dylan 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
88 BALDWIN Liam 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -
89 LU Mark 100% 23% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.