Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
3 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
5 BRESLAV Asher 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 4%
6 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
7 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 12%
8 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
9 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 90% 48% 8%
10 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
11 ASHLEY Logan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
12 TANG Luke 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 3%
13 CHEN Hayden 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
14 LI Jayden 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
15 ROFINO Samuel 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5%
16 LIN Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
17 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
18 MANUEL Eli 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
19 REZENDE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
20 RUDIGER George 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
21 CHIANG William 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
22 ZHU Brady 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
23 BURDICK Elijah 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
24 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
25 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
26 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% -
27 SULLIVAN Dennis 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
28 LI Tyrese 100% 93% 58% 16% 2% -
29 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
30 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
31 LIU Easun 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
32 ACHILOV Murod 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
33 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
34 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
35 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
36 YADAV Aarav 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
37 ROBINSON Blake 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
38 FOGEL Jake 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
39 SON Isaac 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
40 CHEN Jayden 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
41 WITHERELL Logan 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
42 NOVAK Luke 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
43 LANE Sawyer 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
44 CHEN Daniel 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 3%
45 CIANCHETTA David 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
46 KIM Louie 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
46 LIU George 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
48 KLOTS Theo 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
49 YONG Connor 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
50 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
51 PRIEBE IV Cedric 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
52 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
52 LAKSHMAN Vishnu 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 11%
54 SON Joshua 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% - -
55 YOON Jonathan 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
56 ZHANG Jacob 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% -
57 LAZORISAK Andrew 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
57 APFELBAUM Noam 100% 90% 53% 14% 2% -
59 LAI Jaxon 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
60 ALI Zakaria 100% 97% 75% 38% 10% 1%
61 KESELMAN Ron 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
62 PRIEBE Peter 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
63 MERHEJ Sean 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
64 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
65 DAI Jason 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% -
65 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
67 EFFEL Samuel 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
68 ZHENG Yicheng Will 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
69 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
70 MATHEW Benjamin 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
71 GREGORY Milo 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
71 SARKAR Aum 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
73 RICK Dylan 100% 65% 22% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.