Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Friday, December 19, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLDEN Helena 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 PEI Claire 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 LI Anna 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
3 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
5 MOHAN Riya 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
6 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 13%
7 CHI Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
8 KANE Alexa 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 10%
9 YOUNG Nicole 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 21%
10 MARKS Madeline 100% 100% 90% 58% 19% 2%
11 YIP Allison 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
12 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
13 LAI Juliet 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
14 XIAO Ashley 100% 100% 87% 45% 7%
15 ROMANOV Mia 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
16 RAJ Indra 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 2%
17 YOUN Kylie 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
18 HUANG Selina 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
19 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
20 FENG Esther 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
21 XU Chenyu 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
22 EDGAR Koko 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
23 PARKE Jaime 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
24 VARIPILLI Saanvika 100% 98% 84% 45% 11% 1%
25 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
26 SHI Elle 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 1%
27 LI Allison 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
28 DESAI Eesha 100% 95% 69% 28% 5%
29 DAI Sophie 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% -
30 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
31 WEST Vivian 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
32 ANDRUS Allie 100% 95% 67% 26% 4%
33 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 86% 42% 6%
34 YOON Claire 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
35 YOUNG Penelope 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
36 JIANG Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
37 RAPTIS Layla 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
38 ERISMAN Gabriella 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
39 ILYAS Daanya 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
40 HALE Reagan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
41 ZENG Joy 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
42 YANG Nina 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
43 ZHAO Rachel 100% 98% 70% 28% 5% -
44 OLSON Olivia 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
45 BUZZINI Julia 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% - -
46 KOSIM Irene 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
47 ZHANG Avery 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
48 SHUKLA Annika 100% 98% 56% 14% 1%
49 LEONG Andrea 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 1%
50 NEGRUT Sabina 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
51 TUMULA Anima 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
52 LOO Samantha 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
53 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 100% 97% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
54 XIE Angela 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
55 BRINDAVAN Vyahriti 100% 51% 12% 1% -
55 MARTINEZ Adeline 100% 10% - - -
57 LAU Avery 100% 86% 41% 9% 1% -
57 YADAGIRI Aditi 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
59 ILYAS Lyla 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
60 ZHANG Joy 100% 72% 24% 4% - -
60 TURNER Reagan 100% 18% 1% - - -
62 STEPHENS Alice 100% 29% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.