Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LYU Brandon - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
2 DESERANNO Leander - - - - 2% 18% 81%
3 PARK Andrew - - - - 3% 27% 70%
3 EVANS Desmond - - - 6% 34% 59%
5 QU Zhida (richard) - - - - 4% 27% 69%
6 YAN Aaron 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
7 XU Ethan - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
8 MURDOCK Koichi - - 4% 25% 51% 20%
9 LIM EUNSEONG - - - - 3% 22% 75%
10 SLAIN Owen - - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
11 LI Aaron - 1% 5% 19% 38% 31% 7%
12 QIAN Henry - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
12 JIN Xueyuan George - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
14 ZHANG William - - 3% 15% 39% 36% 6%
15 TAN Alan - 2% 14% 34% 37% 12%
16 LI Ryan - - 1% 9% 41% 49%
17 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
18 LEE Ryan - 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 2%
19 CHEN Kyler - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
20 WU Yulen - 3% 22% 48% 24% 3%
21 LIN Dylan 4% 28% 43% 21% 4% -
22 FOO Kingston - 1% 8% 28% 41% 20% 2%
23 JIN Yucheng - - 6% 25% 45% 22% 2%
24 PARK Avan - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
25 CORAN Roland - 7% 29% 43% 19% 2%
26 PARK Kaiden - 1% 8% 28% 43% 19%
27 GU Evan 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
28 CHUNG Royce 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
29 TEOH Liam 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
30 TROYANKER Makar 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
31 HUANG Owen 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
32 MENG Andy 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
33 MOON Nolan - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
34 LI Lief 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
35 LI Yunze - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 2%
36 KANAN Noland - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
37 PENSA Pavel - - - 1% 13% 50% 36%
38 YU Ethan 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% -
39 BAGWELL Theodore 3% 29% 41% 22% 5% - -
40 LI Mason 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
41 MAZAHERI Theodore 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
42 YU Jinyuan - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
43 MENG Eric 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
44 BHOOMI Abhiram 3% 18% 40% 30% 8% 1% -
45 KAJITA Grayson 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
46 MAZAHERI John - 1% 11% 36% 42% 10%
47 WANG Theodore 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1%
48 DEV Vivaan 5% 32% 41% 18% 3% -
49 JAGANNATHAN Avi 6% 30% 44% 17% 2% -
50 SCHWERIN Albert 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% -
51 LI Alexander 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
52 RYU Griffin 1% 10% 33% 38% 15% 2% -
53 ROSOWSKY Phoenix - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 1%
54 ANEN Magnus - 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
55 CHEN Kyle - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% -
56 ZENG Cayden 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
57 HO Kasper 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
58 CHEN Evan 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
59 WONG Sebastian 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
60 PARK Nathan 3% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
61 XIE Garrett 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% - -
62 DONG YIKUN 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
63 YUAN Vincent 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
64 TAN benjamin 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
65 ZHANG Bryant 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
66 LIN Alex 28% 47% 22% 3% - -
67 CHANG Joshua 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
68 TORNBERG Winston 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
69 PECK Henrik 28% 45% 22% 4% - - -
70 WANG Justin 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
71 WANG Andy 30% 48% 20% 2% - -
72 LEE Elliot 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
73 CANCINO Mateo 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
74 GABURA Roman 61% 33% 6% - - -
75 WU KADEN 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
76 KAPOOR Aadi 47% 38% 12% 2% - - -
77 SHANG Jason 80% 19% 2% - - - -
78 SARDINI Zane 1% 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
79 FORRESTER Marco 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.