Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LYU Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
2 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
3 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
3 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
5 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 YAN Aaron 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
7 XU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
8 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 20%
9 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
10 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
11 LI Aaron 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
12 QIAN Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
12 JIN Xueyuan George 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
14 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 6%
15 TAN Alan 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
16 LI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
17 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
18 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
19 CHEN Kyler 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14% 1%
20 WU Yulen 100% 100% 96% 75% 27% 3%
21 LIN Dylan 100% 96% 68% 25% 4% -
22 FOO Kingston 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 2%
23 JIN Yucheng 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24% 2%
24 PARK Avan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
25 CORAN Roland 100% 100% 93% 64% 21% 2%
26 PARK Kaiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
27 GU Evan 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
28 CHUNG Royce 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
29 TEOH Liam 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
30 TROYANKER Makar 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 6% 1%
31 HUANG Owen 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 10% 1%
32 MENG Andy 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
33 MOON Nolan 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
34 LI Lief 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
35 LI Yunze 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
36 KANAN Noland 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
37 PENSA Pavel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 36%
38 YU Ethan 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
39 BAGWELL Theodore 100% 97% 68% 27% 6% - -
40 LI Mason 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
41 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
42 YU Jinyuan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
43 MENG Eric 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
44 BHOOMI Abhiram 100% 97% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
45 KAJITA Grayson 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
46 MAZAHERI John 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 10%
47 WANG Theodore 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
48 DEV Vivaan 100% 95% 63% 22% 3% -
49 JAGANNATHAN Avi 100% 94% 64% 19% 2% -
50 SCHWERIN Albert 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
51 LI Alexander 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
52 RYU Griffin 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2% -
53 ROSOWSKY Phoenix 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 1%
54 ANEN Magnus 100% 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
55 CHEN Kyle 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% -
56 ZENG Cayden 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1% -
57 HO Kasper 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
58 CHEN Evan 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
59 WONG Sebastian 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
60 PARK Nathan 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
61 XIE Garrett 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% - -
62 DONG YIKUN 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
63 YUAN Vincent 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
64 TAN benjamin 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
65 ZHANG Bryant 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
66 LIN Alex 100% 72% 25% 3% - -
67 CHANG Joshua 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
68 TORNBERG Winston 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
69 PECK Henrik 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
70 WANG Justin 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
71 WANG Andy 100% 70% 22% 2% - -
72 LEE Elliot 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
73 CANCINO Mateo 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
74 GABURA Roman 100% 39% 6% - - -
75 WU KADEN 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
76 KAPOOR Aadi 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
77 SHANG Jason 100% 20% 2% - - - -
78 SARDINI Zane 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
79 FORRESTER Marco 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.