October NAC

Div II Women's Saber

Friday, October 18, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
2 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
3 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 6%
3 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
5 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
6 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
7 BALMASEDA Sabrina F. 100% 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 1%
8 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
9 YODER Bridget H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
10 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
11 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
12 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
13 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
14 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9%
15 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
16 TURNOF Kayla M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
17 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
18 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% < 1%
19 CANNON Sophia E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
20 ENGELMAN Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
21 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
22 HURST Kennedy 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
23 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
24 XI Shining 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
25 KOBERSTEIN Maggie 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 23% 4%
26 GIRARDI Aemilia 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
27 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
28 CHIANG Emily 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
29 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
30 KONG Isabel 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
31 ZINNI Kaylyn M. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
32 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 41% 11%
33 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
34 LIN Zhiyin 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
35 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
36 RIZKALA Joanna 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
37 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
38 LARIMER Katherine E. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% 1%
39 CHANG Emily 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
40 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
41 BAKER Amelia M. 100% 83% 35% 6% < 1% - -
42 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
43 KITTLE Lauren 100% 83% 41% 11% 2% - -
44 TANG Catherine H. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
45 KALRA Siya L. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
46 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 46% 13%
47 HILD Nisha 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
48 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
49 KOO Samantha 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
50 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
51 MANUBAG Amanda R. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
52 SEAL Julie T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
53 DARINGA Arianna 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
54 HUANG Sharon 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
55 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
56 YANG Angelina 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
57 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 14% 2%
58 MUNGOVAN Cecilia C. 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
59 OXENSTIERNA Carolina 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
60 ZENG Xiaoyi 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
61 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
62 HOLMES Emma 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
63 LEE Sophia 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% - -
64 KIM Nam Heui 100% 84% 41% 11% 2% - -
65 ABOUDAHER Janna A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
66 ROGERS Pauline E. 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
67 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
68 LAMBERT Jasmine M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
69 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 95% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
70 PETTIT Sara M. 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
71 RODGERS Sally E. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
72 KIM Sujin 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
73 TODD Phoebe 100% 99% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
74 HAYES Grace Y. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
75 LIM Isabel K. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
76 DAVIS Charlotte 100% 60% 17% 3% - - -
77 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
78 WHEELER Kira 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
79 DHAR Aamina 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
80 BILILIES Sophia 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
81 HUNG Anna 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
82 HSU Mia Y. 100% 68% 24% 5% - - -
83 LIN Selena 100% 92% 62% 23% 5% - -
84 MARQUES Hannah 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
85 CUNNINGHAM Erin 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
86 HU Allison C. 100% 94% 61% 21% 3% - -
87 NG Sarah W. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
88 LI Angela 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
89 RAHIM Alina O. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
90 PROBST Alyssa 100% 28% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.