Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Gloria Y. - - - 1% 16% 83%
2 YU Chloe - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
3 ALLIEVI Simone - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18% 2%
3 CHOI Arianna - 2% 11% 33% 38% 16%
5 YANG Hannah - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
6 SHEIKH PAREE 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
7 KROPP Anne (Charlie) - - - - 5% 31% 63%
8 JU Jennifer - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
9 KAKANI Aditi - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
11 JIANG Alexandra - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
12 ZHANG Ashley - 3% 15% 36% 35% 12%
13 LI Xier - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13%
14 CHEN Madeline - 1% 9% 38% 53%
15 XIE ANDREA - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 4%
16 FURMAN Elizabeth 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
17 RAJ Indra 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
18 KWON Claire 1% 11% 31% 38% 18% 1%
19 YOUNG Penelope 2% 20% 46% 28% 4%
20 AXELROD Charlotte 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
21 SONKU Mira 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
22 YIN Elaine 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
23 KIM Kate 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% -
24 LIU Brinley 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
25 CHANG Hannah 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
26 HAN Emma - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
27 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
28 LEE Kate - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
29 ZHAO Rachel 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
30 GORE Amina 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
31 CHALLAMEL Heloise 18% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
32 MORET Teagan 10% 45% 36% 9% 1%
33 ZHANG Sophia 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
34 HAGERMAN Siona 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
35 TANG Jacquelyn 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
36 GOPU Jyothirvida 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
37 LEE Zoe 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
38 ZHENG Kristen 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3%
39 TRIVULCE Scarlett 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
40 LEONG Andrea 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% -
41 RAGSDALE Lillian 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
42 PORTER Cora 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
43 JANGALA Risha 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
44 FAN Joy 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
45 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
46 NAPOLI Eleanor 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
47 NIKOLLA Vivienne 5% 22% 38% 28% 8% -
48 CHEN Emily 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
49 MEGGERS Arya 1% 9% 36% 43% 11%
50 KIM Kaylin 63% 32% 5% - -
51 BUNCH Halle 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% -
52 ZUNIGA Sol Alejandra Flores 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
53 KWON Allison 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
54 BUNCH Helena 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
55 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
56 WANG Jenny wang 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.