Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 YU Chloe 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
3 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 2%
3 CHOI Arianna 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
5 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
6 SHEIKH PAREE 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
7 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
8 JU Jennifer 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
9 KAKANI Aditi 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
11 JIANG Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
12 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
13 LI Xier 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
14 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
15 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
16 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
17 RAJ Indra 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
18 KWON Claire 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 1%
19 YOUNG Penelope 100% 98% 78% 33% 4%
20 AXELROD Charlotte 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
21 SONKU Mira 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
22 YIN Elaine 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
23 KIM Kate 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
24 LIU Brinley 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
25 CHANG Hannah 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
26 HAN Emma 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
27 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
28 LEE Kate 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
29 ZHAO Rachel 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
30 GORE Amina 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
31 CHALLAMEL Heloise 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
32 MORET Teagan 100% 90% 45% 10% 1%
33 ZHANG Sophia 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
34 HAGERMAN Siona 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
35 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
36 GOPU Jyothirvida 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
37 LEE Zoe 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
38 ZHENG Kristen 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
39 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
40 LEONG Andrea 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% -
41 RAGSDALE Lillian 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
42 PORTER Cora 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
43 JANGALA Risha 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
44 FAN Joy 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
45 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
46 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% -
47 NIKOLLA Vivienne 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% -
48 CHEN Emily 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
49 MEGGERS Arya 100% 99% 90% 54% 11%
50 KIM Kaylin 100% 37% 5% - -
51 BUNCH Halle 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
52 ZUNIGA Sol Alejandra Flores 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
53 KWON Allison 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
54 BUNCH Helena 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
55 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
56 WANG Jenny wang 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.