Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Leonardo - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
2 ADDYSON Aidan - - 3% 17% 39% 36% 5%
3 SHOUSHA Hamza - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 AYOTTE James - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
5 KIM Gene - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
6 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
7 WANG Marcus - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
8 CHAN Kyle Si Tin - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
9 YU Jason - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
10 CHANEY Charles - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
11 ZHU Yiming - 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
12 ZHANG jonathan - 1% 5% 20% 38% 31% 6%
13 MODANLOU Navid - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
14 HUANG Max 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1% -
15 DELONG Joshua - 3% 15% 37% 34% 10%
16 KROPP Wesley - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
17 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - - 3% 24% 74%
18 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
19 YILMAZ Tarik - 1% 7% 26% 43% 21% 3%
20 RAPALSKI Thomas - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
21 SUH Aiden - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
22 GRIGORENKO Gleb 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
23 CHO Alex - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
24 ZHAI Junqi - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
25 LEECH Braedan - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
26 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
27 SAAD Noah 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
28 CAMP Ethan - - 1% 8% 33% 45% 13%
29 ARMSTRONG TyLee - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
30 JOHNSON Dieko - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
31 UNZHAKOV Konstantin - - 4% 16% 36% 33% 11%
32 NOOL Alexander - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
33 GAO Victor - - 1% 7% 27% 46% 19%
34 WANG Devin - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
36 LAU LUCAS - 4% 18% 39% 32% 8%
37 THOMAS Andrew 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6% -
38 FEELY Benjamin - 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
39 TOPRANI Valmik 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
39 LOPATIN Sergei 8% 33% 38% 17% 4% - -
41 GRIGGS Kaiden 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
42 SUNKARA Vishnu 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
43 KONG Brandon - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
44 DIEKER Edwin 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
45 TSIEN Richard - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
46 YU Jeremy - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7% -
47 HAM Ian 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
48 KONG Ethan 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
49 CASH William Li - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9% -
50 BROSNAN Solomon 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
51 ALPSOY Emir 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
52 CHAN Ian 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
53 PRABHU Srinish 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
54 CHEN Aiden 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
55 BHANDARE Veer - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
56 LEE Henry - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
57 JIANG Aidan 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
58 ZENG Felix 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
59 CHONG Eden 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
60 ZHANG Shuhao 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
61 LEE Elijah 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
62 SHEYDIN Barry 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
63 BANG Dylan 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% 1% -
64 KHERSONSKY Robert 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
65 CHO Adrian - 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
66 ZHU Brady 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
67 PARY Jean Pierre 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% -
68 STRAFFORD Andrew 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
69 BAYUS Oliver 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
70 SAAD Peter 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
71 TSEN Mason 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
71 SALLAI Abel 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
73 GUO Benjamin 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
74 LI Tyrese 14% 43% 31% 10% 1% - -
75 PETROVSKI Kiril 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
76 MAXWELL Sheito 3% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1% -
77 DAVIS Kai 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
78 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 46% 41% 12% 2% - - -
78 GALIOTE James 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
80 FENG Xinmin 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
81 JUNG Max 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
82 WEI Noah 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
83 LEE Ryan 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
83 THOMAS Ethan 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% -
85 MILLER Balthazar 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
86 KUBBA Sauvil 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
87 BENUCCI Vincent < 1% 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
88 WEI Jayden 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
89 WORMACK Anthony Jr. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.