Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
2 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40% 5%
3 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
5 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
6 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
7 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
8 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
9 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
10 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
11 ZHU Yiming 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
12 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 6%
13 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
14 HUANG Max 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
15 DELONG Joshua 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
16 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
17 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
18 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
19 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24% 3%
20 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
21 SUH Aiden 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
22 GRIGORENKO Gleb 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
23 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
24 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
25 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
26 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
27 SAAD Noah 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
28 CAMP Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 13%
29 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
30 JOHNSON Dieko 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
31 UNZHAKOV Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
32 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
33 GAO Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 19%
34 WANG Devin 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
36 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
37 THOMAS Andrew 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
38 FEELY Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
39 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
39 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
41 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
42 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
43 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
44 DIEKER Edwin 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
45 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
46 YU Jeremy 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7% -
47 HAM Ian 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
48 KONG Ethan 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
49 CASH William Li 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9% -
50 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
51 ALPSOY Emir 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
52 CHAN Ian 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
53 PRABHU Srinish 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
54 CHEN Aiden 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
55 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
56 LEE Henry 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
57 JIANG Aidan 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
58 ZENG Felix 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
59 CHONG Eden 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
60 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
61 LEE Elijah 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
62 SHEYDIN Barry 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
63 BANG Dylan 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
64 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
65 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
66 ZHU Brady 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
67 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
68 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
69 BAYUS Oliver 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
70 SAAD Peter 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
71 TSEN Mason 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
71 SALLAI Abel 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
73 GUO Benjamin 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
74 LI Tyrese 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% - -
75 PETROVSKI Kiril 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
76 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1% -
77 DAVIS Kai 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
78 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 54% 13% 2% - - -
78 GALIOTE James 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
80 FENG Xinmin 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
81 JUNG Max 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
82 WEI Noah 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
83 LEE Ryan 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
83 THOMAS Ethan 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
85 MILLER Balthazar 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
86 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
87 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
88 WEI Jayden 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
89 WORMACK Anthony Jr. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.