Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Ashley - 1% 12% 41% 46%
3 YU Chloe - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
3 CHEN Madeline - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
5 YANG Hannah - - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
6 FAN Joy - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
7 XIE ANDREA - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
8 WANG Hailie - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
9 CHANG Hannah 1% 13% 38% 39% 10%
10 KIM Kate 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4%
11 HAN Emma - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
12 VILLER Alice - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
13 RAJ Indra - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
14 LEE Zoe 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
15 HE Joyce 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
16 MAO Faith 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
17 CHOI Arianna - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
18 YOUNG Penelope 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
19 FURMAN Elizabeth - - 4% 16% 36% 35% 9%
20 MEGGERS Arya - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
21 LIU Brinley - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
22 XU Yunshu 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
23 LEONG Andrea - 7% 27% 39% 22% 5%
24 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
25 FAYEZ Malika - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
26 ZHAO Rachel 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
27 CHALLAMEL Heloise 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
28 HONG Catherine - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
29 QIN Olivia 5% 32% 40% 19% 4% - -
30 CHANEY Evelyn - 2% 12% 34% 39% 14%
31 TRIVULCE Scarlett - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
32 CHOI Noah 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
33 KUO Stella 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
34 CHUNG Yenna 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
35 TANG Jacquelyn 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
36 ZHAO Crystal 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
37 JUBILEE Beata - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
38 ABDELKAREM Maya - 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
39 YIN Elaine - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
40 BUNCH Helena 9% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
41 LEWIN Isabelle 10% 39% 37% 12% 1%
42 ERATA Selena 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
43 KWON Allison 6% 33% 39% 18% 4% -
44 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
45 KIM Lina 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
46 AINSWORTH Esme 3% 22% 43% 27% 5%
47 ZUNIGA Sol Alejandra Flores 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
48 CHEN Emily 5% 33% 39% 19% 4% - -
49 XU Alivia 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
50 WANG Jenny wang 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
51 ABDALLAH Lily 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
52 JANG Daniella 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
53 VILLER Gabriella 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
54 ZHANG Ann 65% 30% 5% - - - -
55 WANG Bojun 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
56 LEE Zerah 51% 39% 9% 1% -
57 GUO Cecilia 66% 29% 4% - - - -
58 CHOI Serine 59% 34% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.