Event Results

Y-12 Women's Épée

Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCCPool Heatmap

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
58 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
2 ZHANG Audrey Zhang A. Missing ID
3 YU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 40%
3 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
5 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
6 FAN Joy 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
7 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
8 WANG Hailie 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
9 CHANG Hannah 100% 99% 86% 48% 10%
10 KIM Kate 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
11 HAN Emma 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
12 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
13 RAJ Indra 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
14 LEE Zoe 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
15 HE Joyce 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
16 MAO Faith 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
17 CHOI Arianna 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
18 YOUNG Penelope 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 5%
19 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 8%
20 MEGGERS Arya 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
21 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
22 XU Yunshu 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
23 LEONG Andrea 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
24 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2%
25 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
26 ZHAO Rachel 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
27 CHALLAMEL Heloise 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
28 HONG Catherine 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
29 QIN Olivia 100% 95% 62% 23% 4% - -
30 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
31 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
32 CHOI Noah 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
33 KUO Stella 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
34 CHUNG Yenna 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 9% 1%
35 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
36 ZHAO Crystal 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
37 JUBILEE Beata 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
38 ABDELKAREM Maya 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
39 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
40 BUNCH Helena 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
41 LEWIN Isabelle 100% 90% 52% 14% 1%
42 ERATA Selena 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
43 KWON Allison 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% -
44 CHAN Faith Sum Yin 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
45 KIM Lina 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
46 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 97% 74% 31% 4%
47 ZUNIGA Sol Alejandra Flores 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
48 CHEN Emily 100% 95% 62% 24% 5% - -
49 XU Alivia 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
50 WANG Jenny wang 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
51 ABDALLAH Lily 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
52 JANG Daniella 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
53 VILLER Gabriella 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
54 ZHANG Ann 100% 35% 5% - - - -
55 WANG Bojun 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
56 LEE Zerah 100% 49% 10% 1% -
57 GUO Cecilia 100% 34% 5% - - - -
58 CHOI Serine 100% 41% 7% 1% - -