Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
2 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
3 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
5 YU Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
6 YIN Chujun 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
8 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
9 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
11 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
12 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 12%
13 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
14 GRIGORENKO Gleb 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
15 ZHU Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
16 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
17 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
18 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
19 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
20 CAMP Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 15%
21 GAO Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
22 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
23 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
24 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
25 YU Jason 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
26 RAVI Arjun 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
27 BAYUS Oliver 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
28 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 6%
29 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 1% -
30 KE Sebastian 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
31 JOHNSON Dieko 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 5%
32 CHENH Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 7%
33 DELONG Joshua 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
34 TSIEN Richard 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1%
35 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
36 CHAN Ian 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
36 ZUNIGA Carlos Andres Flores 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
38 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
39 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
40 GUO Benjamin 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% 1% -
41 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7% -
42 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
43 KONG Ethan 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
43 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
43 THOMAS Andrew 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
46 DIEKER Edwin 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
47 LEE Henry 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
48 SUH Aiden 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 3%
49 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
50 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
50 WANG Devin 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
52 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
53 ZHU Yiming 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
54 BHANDARE Veer 100% 99% 93% 64% 22% 3%
55 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
56 FEELY Benjamin 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
57 ZENG Felix 100% 68% 25% 4% - - -
58 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
59 LI Tyrese 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
60 BANG Dylan 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
61 FORD Austin 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
62 ALPSOY Emir 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% - -
63 SAAD Noah 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
64 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
65 PRABHU Srinish 100% 91% 55% 17% 3% - -
66 SAAD Peter 100% 72% 27% 4% - -
67 HUANG Max 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
68 MCCABE Kian 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
69 ZHU Brady 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
70 JUNG Max 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
71 DAVIS Kai 100% 77% 31% 6% - -
72 ZAKHAROV Konstantyn 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
73 FENG Xinmin 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
74 THOMAS Ethan 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
75 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
76 DAVIS Jack 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
77 CHONG Eden 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
78 SALLAI Abel 100% 95% 67% 25% 5% - -
79 GALIOTE James 100% 81% 43% 12% 2% - -
80 LORENZ Nathan 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
81 MEHDI Shaheer 100% 97% 64% 23% 4% - -
82 PETROVSKI Kiril 100% 42% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.