Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
3 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
5 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
6 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10% 1%
7 CASH William Li 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
8 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
9 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
10 CHAN Ian 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
11 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
12 WANG Eason 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
13 YU Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20%
14 FEELY Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 13%
15 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
16 HUDSON Declan 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 8% 1%
17 BANG Dylan 100% 98% 81% 43% 10%
18 GUO Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
19 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
20 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
21 WEI Jayden 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 6% -
22 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
23 CHOI Joshua 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
24 URIA Sullivan 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
25 ZHAO Brandon 100% 65% 22% 4% -
26 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
27 CHONG Eden 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
28 SAAD Peter 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
29 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
30 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1%
31 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
32 SCORDINSKY Liam 100% 99% 86% 52% 15%
33 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
34 GALIOTE James 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
35 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
36 KIM Siwoo 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
37 KIM Aiden 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
38 SMOTHERS Eli 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
39 SHAO Mason 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
40 QI Bryan 100% 92% 59% 21% 3%
41 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 97% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
42 WANG Henry 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
43 FEELY Samuel 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
44 WANG William 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
45 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
46 SHULL Matthias 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% - -
47 CHIU Preston 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
49 KELLY Blair 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
50 CARL-YODER Matthew 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
51 MILLER Xavier 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2% -
52 HAVARUSHKA Bahdan 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
53 FENG Xinmin 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
54 QU ethan 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
55 SERGEANT Henry 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
56 MORET Declan 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
57 SMITH Noah 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
58 HEALY Caden 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
59 ATTALLA Taha 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.