Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KUYKENDALL Logan - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
2 ZHUKOV Egor 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
3 KUYKENDALL Lucas 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
3 MAXWELL Taiga - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11%
5 KIM Siwoo - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
6 KIM Aiden - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
7 YOU Asher - 4% 22% 45% 29%
8 ZHAO Brandon 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 4%
9 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
10 ZHAO ryan - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
11 FEELY Samuel 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
12 KIM Ian - 1% 11% 33% 40% 16%
13 WANG William 11% 37% 37% 13% 1%
14 ZHOU Silvan 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
15 SHULL Matthias 3% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
16 QU ethan 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
17 WANG Henry 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
18 NG Remy - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
19 IVANOV Andrew - 1% 9% 29% 42% 20%
20 SERGEANT Henry 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
21 SAFAI Bardia 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
22 MORET Declan 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
23 FOX Benjamin 27% 44% 24% 5% -
24 MURPHY-MIMS Connor 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
25 DUDDA Kavin 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
26 KAZA Avyaan 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
27 KIM Kaiden 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
28 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
29 YANG Sean 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
29 BHATT Shivam 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
31 OLELE Chibuikem 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
32 CHONG Nikolai 37% 42% 18% 3% - -
33 THORNE Jonathan 32% 45% 19% 4% - -
34 WENDLING Andrew 27% 49% 21% 3% - -
34 ATTALLA Taha 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.