Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
2 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
3 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
3 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
5 KIM Siwoo 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
6 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
7 YOU Asher 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
8 ZHAO Brandon 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4%
9 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
10 ZHAO ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
11 FEELY Samuel 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
12 KIM Ian 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
13 WANG William 100% 89% 52% 15% 1%
14 ZHOU Silvan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
15 SHULL Matthias 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
16 QU ethan 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
17 WANG Henry 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
18 NG Remy 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
19 IVANOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
20 SERGEANT Henry 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
21 SAFAI Bardia 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
22 MORET Declan 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
23 FOX Benjamin 100% 73% 29% 5% -
24 MURPHY-MIMS Connor 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
25 DUDDA Kavin 100% 89% 55% 18% 2%
26 KAZA Avyaan 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
27 KIM Kaiden 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
28 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
29 YANG Sean 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
29 BHATT Shivam 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
31 OLELE Chibuikem 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
32 CHONG Nikolai 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
33 THORNE Jonathan 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
34 WENDLING Andrew 100% 73% 24% 4% - -
34 ATTALLA Taha 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.