2026 TCFC January Challenges

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
2 LIMER Avi 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 34%
3 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 31%
3 BLAT Robert 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 38%
5 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
6 HONEK Kyle 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
7 BISSEN Quinn 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 38%
8 BUCUR Rebekah O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 13%
9 PREIDL Matthias 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 12%
10 TAKATA Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 40%
10 SANFORD Wesley 100% 98% 83% 43% 9% 1%
10 PETERSON Penelope 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
13 HALULA Frank 100% 94% 69% 28% 4% -
14 LEE Wilson 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
15 DRAWZ Chase 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
16 TELCI Arya 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
17 CLIPPARD Erik J. 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
18 CAVEN Henry 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
19 ELDRIDGE Hudson 100% 94% 65% 27% 5% - -
20 LEUNG Matthias 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
21 STENZEL Henry 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
22 YATES Graeme 100% 99% 84% 46% 11% 1%
23 CARLSON Harvey 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
24 CULVER Hannah 100% 95% 69% 26% 2% -
25 MIEST Davis 100% 98% 82% 42% 9% -
26 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 94% 67% 25% 3% -
27 CAVEN Emerald 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
28 WILLER Ryan 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
29 JORGENSEN Rebekah 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
30 STONE Ken 100% 91% 59% 20% 2% -
31 HALLORAN Mikael 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.