Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-8 Women's Foil

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DING Athena 100% 99% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
2 KNOX aysa 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 21% 3%
3 SUN Leia 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 20% 4%
3 LIN Valentina 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% < 1% -
5 GUAN Angie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
6 BINDAL Ashita 100% 99% 93% 70% 37% 11% 1%
7 LU Jocelyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
8 CHEN Lyra 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
9 ISAAC Felicity 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% -
10 CHEN Yingying 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
11 TAM Alisa 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
12 PARK Cora 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
13 CHOI Audrey M 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
14 LAI Cambria 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
15 EUN Seowon 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
16 KIM Blaire 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
17 GONG Miya 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
18 AN Smiley 100% 96% 77% 46% 18% 4% -
19 QU Alice 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
20 LEE Isabelle 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
21 LI Emery 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.