Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 ERLIKHMAN Adrian V V V V V V V V V V V 5.7 6 +0.3
2 VOO Lucas V V V V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
3 GUO Woody V V V V D V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
3 DENG Henry V V V V D V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
5 WU Johnny y. V V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
6 DODDAPANENI Aarav V V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
7 LIN Daniel D V V V V V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
8 DENG Destin D D D V D V V V V D 3.1 2 -1.1
9 WANG Lucas V V V V V V D 2.5 5 +2.5
10 WONG Aaron V V V V D V D 3.2 5 +1.8
11 FU Nolan D V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
12 DENISON Declan V D V V V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
13 NIKIFOROV Timofei D V D V V V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
14 MAXU Tiger V D V D V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
15 GUO Luke V V D D V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
16 DENG Andes D D D D V V V D 1.7 1 -0.7
17 HAMILTON Travis V V V V D V D 2.8 4 +1.2
18 RONG Gordon V V D V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
19 NORTON Henry D V V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
20 SKILLENS Davin V V D V V D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
21 CHENG Trevor V V D V V D V D 4.2 4 -0.2
22 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan V D D V V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
23 RONG Marcus D V D V V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
24 BAKKEN Archer D D V V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
25 MENG Haoyi V V D V D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
26 NGUYEN Ethan V. D D V D V V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
27 SCHERZAY Ian V D D V D V V 3.8 3 -0.8
28 SZETO Zachary V D V D D V V D 1.3 3 +1.7
29 WHITE Ryden D D D V V V D 3.0 2 -1.0
30 SARMIENTO Luke V V D D D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
31 CHEN Jayden V V D D D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
32 WOO Lucas V D D D V V D 2.3 2 -0.3
33 CHARETTE Alex V D V V D D 2.9 3 +0.1
34 GADHVI Darius V V D V D D 3.4 3 -0.4
35 FU Adrian D D V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
36 KIM Leejay D D V V D D 2.3 2 -0.3
37 NUGENT Curtis V D V D D D 1.5 2 +0.5
38 YU Brandon V D V D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
39 MA Ryan D V V D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
40 WANG Dylan D V D D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
41 YUN Nicholas V D V D D D 1.1 2 +0.9
42 OR Anson V D V D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
43 PARRA Lucas D D V D V D D 2.9 2 -0.9
44 O’CONNOR Eve V D D D D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
45 ZHANG Luqi D D D D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
46 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel D D D V D D 1.3 1 -0.3
47 CHEONG Cameron D D D D V D 2.4 1 -1.4
48 KIM Remington D V D D D D 3.0 1 -2.0
49 RAHMAN Ali D D V D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
50 GE Austin D V D D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
51 KOU Mason D D V D D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
52 COIMBATORE Dillon D V D D D D D 0.7 1 +0.3
53 CHIEN Ian D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
54 COLE Perrin D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0
55 TOUSSAINT Wizard D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
56 HINOJOSA Alexis D D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.