Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 VOO Lucas - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
3 GUO Woody - 3% 14% 35% 37% 12%
3 DENG Henry 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
5 WU Johnny y. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
6 DODDAPANENI Aarav - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
7 LIN Daniel 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
8 DENG Destin - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% -
9 WANG Lucas 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3%
10 WONG Aaron 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
11 FU Nolan - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
12 DENISON Declan - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
13 NIKIFOROV Timofei - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
14 MAXU Tiger - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
15 GUO Luke 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
16 DENG Andes 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
17 HAMILTON Travis 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
18 RONG Gordon - 3% 13% 33% 36% 15%
19 NORTON Henry - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
20 SKILLENS Davin - 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 2%
21 CHENG Trevor - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
22 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
23 RONG Marcus 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
24 BAKKEN Archer 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2%
25 MENG Haoyi 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
26 NGUYEN Ethan V. 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
27 SCHERZAY Ian - 1% 8% 28% 39% 22% 2%
28 SZETO Zachary 17% 46% 29% 8% 1% - -
29 WHITE Ryden 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
30 SARMIENTO Luke 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
31 CHEN Jayden - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
32 WOO Lucas 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1%
33 CHARETTE Alex 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 5%
34 GADHVI Darius - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
35 FU Adrian 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
36 KIM Leejay 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
37 NUGENT Curtis 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
38 YU Brandon 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
39 MA Ryan 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
40 WANG Dylan 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
41 YUN Nicholas 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
42 OR Anson 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
43 PARRA Lucas 1% 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
44 O’CONNOR Eve - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
45 ZHANG Luqi 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
46 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
47 CHEONG Cameron 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
48 KIM Remington 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
49 RAHMAN Ali 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
50 GE Austin 43% 40% 14% 2% - -
51 KOU Mason 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
52 COIMBATORE Dillon 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
53 CHIEN Ian 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
54 COLE Perrin 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1%
55 TOUSSAINT Wizard 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
56 HINOJOSA Alexis 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.