Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 CHANG Kaitlyn V V D V V V V V V V V 4.2 4 -0.2
2 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol V V V V V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
3 CAO Kim V V D V V V V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
3 LIQUARD Lea V V V V V V V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
5 SHI Maxine V V V V V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
6 LONG Chloe V V V V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
7 HWANG Sophie V V V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
8 SUNG Isabella D V V D V V V V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
9 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla V V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
10 HU Ashley V V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
11 DING Jolie V V V V V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
12 LI Cici D V V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
13 MISHEV Lila V V V D V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
14 NGUYEN Summer V D D V V V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
15 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" V V D D V V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
16 BRIMMER Bella D V D D D V V V D 2.7 1 -1.7
17 LAUREYNS Ainsley V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
18 CAI Joanna V V V V V D V D 4.6 5 +0.4
19 CHEN Cindy V V V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
20 KIM Hyunbi V D V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
21 LIN Ariel V D V V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
22 WANG Makayla V V V D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
23 ZHANG angelina D V V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
24 HWANG Charlotte D V V V V D V D 4.9 4 -0.9
25 BAEK Aileen D D V V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
26 GUERVILLE Angelique V V D V V D V D 3.1 4 +0.9
27 HAN yujie V V V D D V V D 1.8 4 +2.2
28 MERRITT Annabelle V D V D V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
29 ENNIS Charlotte V V D V D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
30 SEO Yunseo V V D V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
31 DENG Oscar V D V D D V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
32 GUO YUKI V D D V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
33 TAN Angela V V V V V D D 3.4 5 +1.6
34 CHANG Kylie V D D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
35 ASHIKHMINA Agniya D D V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
36 CHENG Anna D D V V V D 4.4 3 -1.4
37 DUDNICK Caitlin V D V V D D 3.0 3 -
38 NGUYEN Amelia D V D V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
39 HOWARD Sasha D V V D V D 1.4 3 +1.6
40 WHITE CAREY Alberta D V V D V D 1.6 3 +1.4
41 MORINAGA Mirai D V D V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
42 SUTHERLAND Sadie D V V V D D D 3.5 3 -0.5
43 WOO Ava V D V D D D 2.5 2 -0.5
44 LEE Alana D D D V V D 1.9 2 +0.1
45 WU Melody D V D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
46 BI Mia V D V V D D D 2.4 3 +0.6
47 ZHAO Audrey V D V D D V D 1.9 3 +1.1
48 TRAN Esme V D D D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
49 DUBIELZIG Beni V D D V D D 1.3 2 +0.7
50 OLESKY Ellie D V D D D V D 4.1 2 -2.1
51 JOHNSTON Sabrina D V D D D V V D 1.8 2 +0.2
52 KIM Hyunji V D D V D D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
53 DAVIS Layla D V V D D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
54 SONG Phoebe D V D D D V D 3.5 2 -1.5
55 WANG Jennifer V D D D V D V D 1.3 2 +0.7
56 VIGNEUX Nolwenn D D V D V D V D 3.2 2 -1.2
57 CUI Andrea D D V D D V D 2.5 1 -1.5
58 WEINSTEIN Karina V D D D D V D 1.4 1 -0.4
59 CHANG Carolyn D V D D D V D 1.3 1 -0.3
60 CHEN Lydia D D V D D V D 1.4 1 -0.4
61 FISCHER Luna D V D D D D D 2.7 1 -1.7
62 WONG Chloe D V D D D D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
63 WANG Kaylee D D D D V D V D 1.3 1 -0.3
64 RO Manhattan D D D V D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
65 SAYONE Liliana D D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
66 ZHOU kelsey D D V D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
67 HONG Emory D D D V D D 0.8 1 +0.2
69 YANG annie D D D D V D D 1.1 1 -0.1
70 FANG Lauren V D D D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
71 MILLER Maple D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
72 SCHOTT Marine D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
72 BADDEPUDI Sreenika D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
74 LUC Madisyn D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
74 LABAZNIKOVA Alla D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
76 CORTES GUTIERREZ Deihanny Y D D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
78 SHACKLEFORD Alessandra D D D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2
79 LEE Lauren D D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.