Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Kaitlyn - - 1% 13% 55% 31%
2 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol - - 1% 10% 49% 40%
3 CAO Kim - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
3 LIQUARD Lea - - 5% 34% 46% 14%
5 SHI Maxine - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
6 LONG Chloe - - - 5% 42% 52%
7 HWANG Sophie - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
8 SUNG Isabella - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
9 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
10 HU Ashley - - 5% 22% 45% 28%
11 DING Jolie - 1% 8% 30% 43% 17%
12 LI Cici - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
13 MISHEV Lila - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
14 NGUYEN Summer - - 3% 15% 37% 34% 10%
15 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" - - 5% 25% 46% 24%
16 BRIMMER Bella - 11% 33% 36% 17% 3%
17 LAUREYNS Ainsley - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
18 CAI Joanna - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
19 CHEN Cindy - - 1% 12% 50% 37%
20 KIM Hyunbi - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
21 LIN Ariel - 1% 11% 31% 39% 18%
22 WANG Makayla - 1% 9% 42% 40% 9%
23 ZHANG angelina - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
24 HWANG Charlotte - - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
25 BAEK Aileen - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 3%
26 GUERVILLE Angelique 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
27 HAN yujie 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
28 MERRITT Annabelle - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
29 ENNIS Charlotte 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
30 SEO Yunseo 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 4%
31 DENG Oscar 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% -
32 GUO YUKI 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
33 TAN Angela - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
34 CHANG Kylie - 10% 31% 36% 19% 4%
35 ASHIKHMINA Agniya - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
36 CHENG Anna - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
37 DUDNICK Caitlin - 5% 22% 43% 25% 5%
38 NGUYEN Amelia 10% 36% 39% 13% 2% -
39 HOWARD Sasha 14% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
40 WHITE CAREY Alberta 10% 36% 39% 13% 1% -
41 MORINAGA Mirai - 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
42 SUTHERLAND Sadie - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
43 WOO Ava - 10% 36% 43% 10% 1%
44 LEE Alana 3% 29% 45% 21% 2% -
45 WU Melody 6% 37% 42% 14% 1% -
46 BI Mia 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
47 ZHAO Audrey 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
48 TRAN Esme 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
49 DUBIELZIG Beni 18% 43% 32% 7% - -
50 OLESKY Ellie - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
51 JOHNSTON Sabrina 5% 33% 40% 18% 3% - -
52 KIM Hyunji 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
53 DAVIS Layla 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
54 SONG Phoebe - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
55 WANG Jennifer 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
56 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
57 CUI Andrea 1% 11% 37% 42% 8% -
58 WEINSTEIN Karina 12% 41% 40% 7% - -
59 CHANG Carolyn 16% 47% 32% 5% - -
60 CHEN Lydia 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
61 FISCHER Luna 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
62 WONG Chloe 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
63 WANG Kaylee 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
64 RO Manhattan 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
65 SAYONE Liliana 8% 31% 40% 18% 3% -
66 ZHOU kelsey 38% 43% 16% 3% - -
67 HONG Emory 40% 45% 14% 1% - -
69 YANG annie 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
70 FANG Lauren 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
71 MILLER Maple 69% 28% 3% - - -
72 SCHOTT Marine 28% 46% 23% 4% - -
72 BADDEPUDI Sreenika 30% 45% 21% 3% - -
74 LUC Madisyn 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
74 LABAZNIKOVA Alla 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
76 CORTES GUTIERREZ Deihanny Y 29% 43% 23% 5% - - -
78 SHACKLEFORD Alessandra 85% 14% 1% - - -
79 LEE Lauren 62% 32% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.