Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI John 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
2 DING Daniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
3 HONG Eason 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
5 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
6 WANG Alexander 100% 95% 63% 24% 4% -
7 LAU Jesse 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 3%
8 LI Ethan 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
9 JIN JETFAN 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
10 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3%
11 PINCHUK Spencer 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
12 LU Jayden 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% -
13 ERLIKHMAN Emanuel 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 2%
14 DODDAPANENI Arjun 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
15 CHO Lincoln 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
16 BUSH Andrew 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8%
17 KIM Ian 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% < 1%
18 LEE Zeo 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% < 1% -
19 YIM Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
20 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
21 MAH Caffrey 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
22 DAI Greyson 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
23 HWANG Isaac 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
24 TOUPET Luke 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
25 SHIH Terry 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
26 SHI Ethan 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1%
27 SHIH Eli 100% 55% 16% 2% - -
28 WAN William 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% -
29 NI Liam 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 2%
30 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
31 YANG Mikey 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
32 XUE Jason 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
33 CHIANG WESLEY 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% -
34 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
35 CAMPBELL Briggs 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
36 OSIKA Wyatt 100% 77% 33% 7% - -
37 HUO Yichen 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
38 HAN Kyle 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
39 JANKO Miles 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
39 YU Anson 100% 71% 25% 4% - -
41 YAN Roman 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
42 LEE Jayden 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
43 WATKINS Max 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.