Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
2 WU Gloria 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 12%
3 MILLER Anna 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
3 WANG Joann 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
5 JU Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
6 DONG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
7 CHEN bridgette 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
8 SHI Cathy 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
9 HUANG Emma 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
10 FANG Savannah 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 4%
11 HOLSTAD Anneliese 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
12 WANG Manny 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 6%
13 HUANG Jiayu 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4% -
14 LI Beatrice 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
15 DING Jessica 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
16 CIORUN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
17 CHEN Arianna 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
18 TELEB Amina 100% 98% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
19 DOMINIK Eliana 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
20 MORONES Alieza 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
21 MCCLAIN Grayce 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
22 CHUNG Sera 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
23 CHEN Michelle 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
24 ZHENG Rachel 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
25 ZHANG Selene T. 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
26 DING Athena 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
27 CHANG Paige Yijae 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
28 HALLEY Jacqueline 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% 1%
29 ZHAO Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
30 SUN Leia 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
31 GAO Evelyn 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
32 NAM Jiwon 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
33 HO Avery 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
34 CAO Kexin 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
35 PATEL Tiana 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
36 LIM EDELINE 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
37 ISAAC Felicity 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
37 NAYLOR Michaela 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
39 CHEN Aria 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
40 CHUNG Yena 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
41 YU Thea 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
42 LI Hoi lam hanna 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
43 KASHUBA Adriana 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
44 LI Catherine 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 2% -
45 LEE Alethea 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
46 ZHU Leona 100% 91% 57% 18% 3% -
47 WANG Christina 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
48 YE Miriam 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
49 ZHAO Adelina 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
50 FIELD Nina 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
51 RUPARELIYA Alisha 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
52 KIM Lisel 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% - -
53 GUTKOVSKIY Chloe 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
54 HAN Charlotte 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
55 MAYES-POURNARAS Zara 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
56 ZHANG Amber 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
57 ZHU Chelsea 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
58 GAMBREL Holland 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
59 DUBOISKAYA Sofia 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
60 LEE Julia 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
61 WANG Amelia 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.