Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Levana - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
2 ILICHEVA Adriana - - 2% 14% 38% 41% 5%
3 KANIA Brigitte - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 17%
3 LI Tira - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
5 VARAH Alaia - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
6 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
7 POWERS Waverly - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
8 DANIELS Jordanna - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
9 QIU Abigail - - 4% 15% 31% 35% 15%
10 MALUKI Nia - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
11 KABILING Anika Von Marie - - 2% 11% 34% 41% 13%
12 STETSIV Julia - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
13 MACHIRAJU Ishita - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
14 SARATH Sana - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
15 ZOLOTUKHINA Adel - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
16 YI Victoria - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
17 NEMORIN Rei - - - - 2% 19% 79%
18 KATZ Emma - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
19 ZHANG Shihan - - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
20 TABANCAY Ava - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
21 WILLER Anna - - 1% 12% 36% 39% 11%
22 LEE Chaewon - 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
23 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - - 2% 20% 78%
24 GAO Anita 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
25 GU Allison - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
26 ZHANG Nikki - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
27 LEE Elise - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
28 CHEN Chloe - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
29 TSIPORUKHA Arie - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
30 JIANG Juliette - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
31 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
32 ARGUELLO Camilla 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
33 FAN Tina - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
34 YANG Felicia - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
35 DESAI Sabrina - 1% 9% 33% 39% 16% 2%
36 NARRELL Olive - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
37 SON Ellie - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
38 KHAN Zoya 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
39 YAP Anna - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
40 PETACCHI Lorena - 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 4%
41 KIM Lucy 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
42 KETT alexis 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
43 VU Claire 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
44 LAMTAN Trinity - 1% 6% 21% 38% 28% 7%
45 LIU Alyssa - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
46 MEINING CHLOE - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
47 CHANG Eleanor 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
47 TSE Lavine - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
49 LEE Sophia 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
50 KONDE Anika - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
51 HU Emily - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
52 WU Jing 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
53 SOUTHWELL Mia 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
54 ONG Katherine - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
55 SARBU Esme 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
56 XU Isabella - 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
57 MEYERSTEIN Vivian 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 8% -
58 ZHANG Annalyn - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
59 JIN Eileen 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
60 WINSLOW Zaria 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
61 CHAM Morgan - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
62 RADELL Zoe 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
63 PARRA Luciana 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
64 KRISHNAN Anu 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
65 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 2% 15% 32% 31% 16% 4% -
66 PURITZ Morgan 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
67 BIVIJI Rania 3% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
68 AN Jasmine 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
69 LIANG Katherine - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
70 ESTEVES ZOE - 1% 7% 29% 41% 20% 3%
71 BAO Amelia - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8% -
72 SADHU Mira 34% 42% 19% 4% 1% - -
73 CHANG Daisy - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
74 ARANGO Ivanna 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
75 KIM Chloe 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
76 HONG Eden 2% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
77 FREY Elise - 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
78 ATA Emily 8% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
79 YANG Rachel - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
80 MAZZURCO Marin 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
81 YU Sydney 1% 6% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
82 MADDISON Estelle 3% 17% 35% 31% 11% 2% -
82 TANG Julia 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
84 JOSEPH Azalée - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
85 KWON Sienna 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1% -
86 POTDAR Harper 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
87 ZHONG Athena 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
88 KONG Hermione - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 6%
88 MADDISON Emily 19% 44% 29% 7% 1% - -
90 SAETIA Isabella 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
91 SHAIKH Sarah 6% 31% 44% 17% 2% - -
92 BHARDWAJ Sara 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
93 NARAYAN Riya 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
94 DY Azurie 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
95 ZHANG Manyao - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
96 DOCTOROFF Zoe 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
97 LI Gloria 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
98 DOCTOROFF Chloe 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
99 HOWELL Vivienne - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
100 JAVIER Jordan 31% 45% 21% 4% - - -
101 DAYNO Riley 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
102 PAVONY Arya 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
103 NAIK Annika 13% 44% 35% 8% 1% - -
104 YAO Elizabeth 3% 19% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
105 D'AMELJ Ludovica 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
106 SUN claire 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
107 JEON Karis 44% 39% 14% 3% - - -
107 WANG Emily 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
109 SHANG Skye 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
110 LIN Martina 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
111 LEE Kady Hayen 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
111 WU Eliana 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
113 LIU Allison 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
114 GREENHOUSE Harper 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
115 CHEUNG Clara 7% 30% 41% 19% 4% - -
115 WANG ZOE 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
115 ZHANG Elyna 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
115 MAZZURCO Sydney 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
119 CRUZ Lala 52% 39% 9% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.