Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Levana 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
2 ILICHEVA Adriana 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 5%
3 KANIA Brigitte 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
3 LI Tira 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
5 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
6 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
7 POWERS Waverly 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
8 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
9 QIU Abigail 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 15%
10 MALUKI Nia 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
11 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
12 STETSIV Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
13 MACHIRAJU Ishita 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
14 SARATH Sana 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
15 ZOLOTUKHINA Adel 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
16 YI Victoria 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
17 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
18 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
19 ZHANG Shihan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
20 TABANCAY Ava 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
21 WILLER Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 11%
22 LEE Chaewon 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
23 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
24 GAO Anita 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
25 GU Allison 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
26 ZHANG Nikki 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
27 LEE Elise 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
28 CHEN Chloe 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
29 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
30 JIANG Juliette 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
31 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
32 ARGUELLO Camilla 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
33 FAN Tina 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 9%
34 YANG Felicia 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
35 DESAI Sabrina 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 19% 2%
36 NARRELL Olive 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
37 SON Ellie 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
38 KHAN Zoya 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
39 YAP Anna 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
40 PETACCHI Lorena 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
41 KIM Lucy 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
42 KETT alexis 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
43 VU Claire 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
44 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
45 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
46 MEINING CHLOE 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
47 CHANG Eleanor 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
47 TSE Lavine 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
49 LEE Sophia 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
50 KONDE Anika 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
51 HU Emily 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
52 WU Jing 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2% -
53 SOUTHWELL Mia 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
54 ONG Katherine 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
55 SARBU Esme 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
56 XU Isabella 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 7%
57 MEYERSTEIN Vivian 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% -
58 ZHANG Annalyn 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
59 JIN Eileen 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
60 WINSLOW Zaria 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
61 CHAM Morgan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
62 RADELL Zoe 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
63 PARRA Luciana 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
64 KRISHNAN Anu 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
65 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
66 PURITZ Morgan 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
67 BIVIJI Rania 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
68 AN Jasmine 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
69 LIANG Katherine 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
70 ESTEVES ZOE 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 23% 3%
71 BAO Amelia 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8% -
72 SADHU Mira 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
73 CHANG Daisy 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
74 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
75 KIM Chloe 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
76 HONG Eden 100% 98% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
77 FREY Elise 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
78 ATA Emily 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% - -
79 YANG Rachel 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
80 MAZZURCO Marin 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
81 YU Sydney 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
82 MADDISON Estelle 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
82 TANG Julia 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
84 JOSEPH Azalée 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
85 KWON Sienna 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
86 POTDAR Harper 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
87 ZHONG Athena 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
88 KONG Hermione 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
88 MADDISON Emily 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
90 SAETIA Isabella 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
91 SHAIKH Sarah 100% 94% 63% 19% 3% - -
92 BHARDWAJ Sara 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
93 NARAYAN Riya 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
94 DY Azurie 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
95 ZHANG Manyao 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
96 DOCTOROFF Zoe 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
97 LI Gloria 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
98 DOCTOROFF Chloe 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
99 HOWELL Vivienne 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
100 JAVIER Jordan 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
101 DAYNO Riley 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
102 PAVONY Arya 100% 48% 12% 1% - - -
103 NAIK Annika 100% 87% 44% 9% 1% - -
104 YAO Elizabeth 100% 97% 78% 44% 16% 3% -
105 D'AMELJ Ludovica 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
106 SUN claire 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
107 JEON Karis 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
107 WANG Emily 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
109 SHANG Skye 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
110 LIN Martina 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
111 LEE Kady Hayen 100% 90% 54% 19% 4% - -
111 WU Eliana 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
113 LIU Allison 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
114 GREENHOUSE Harper 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
115 CHEUNG Clara 100% 93% 64% 23% 4% - -
115 WANG ZOE 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
115 ZHANG Elyna 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
115 MAZZURCO Sydney 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
119 CRUZ Lala 100% 48% 9% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.