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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Premier Challenge RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, September 8, 2019 at 12:30 PM

Manalapan, NJ - Manalapan, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
3 MORREALE John 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
5 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
7 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
8 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
9 LASORSA Matthew 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
10 YEN Preston 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
11 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
12 YUAN Kevin 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
13 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
14 YANG Richard 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
15 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
16 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
17 CALKINS William H. 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 1%
18 TSODIKOV Matthew G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 6%
19 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
20 NOBLE Colin 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
21 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17% 2%
22 LEMPERT Levy A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
23 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
24 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
25 DEWEY Charles J. 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
26 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
27 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 99% 79% 40% 11% 1%
28 HO Kaden M. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
29 WOLFE-MCGUIRE George T. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
30 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
30 LEE Justin 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
32 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 5%
33 DENG Andrew 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
34 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
35 CHAN Austin 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
36 GHOSH Tuhin 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 7%
37 CHENG Kyle 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
38 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
39 HUANG Ian 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
40 LI Junyou 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
41 CHAN Alexander S. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 3% -
42 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
43 PANDEY Neil 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
44 SHTEIN Yan 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
45 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
46 MALONE Gregory D. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
46 HU Andrew 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
48 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
49 CHANG Yufeng 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
50 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
51 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
52 GEORGE Daniel 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
53 GRYCIUK Koby 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
54 SHI Erick 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
55 ROSEN Ben 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
56 FISK Ethan 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
57 CHU Edrick 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
58 GAJDA Jesse 100% 24% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.