5th Annual Denison Winter Open

Men's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Mitchell Recreation Center Denison University - Granville, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OZAWA Taishi - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
2 GUTH Joseph - - - - 4% 29% 66%
3 ALLEN Henry G. - - 2% 17% 46% 35%
3 CHEREDNICHENKO Ihor - 1% 9% 33% 43% 14%
5 MCISAAC Finn - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
6 BOYKO Miles - - 3% 21% 48% 27%
7 WEI JR Shan 1% 10% 36% 37% 14% 1%
8 COPELAND Nigel - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
9 MUNDY Ezra - 3% 16% 36% 33% 10% 1%
10 CHAN Matthew - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
11 GNEUHS Sam - - 2% 13% 36% 41% 8%
12 HREHOCIK Matthew 1% 9% 36% 39% 14% 2%
13 ZHAO Zhiyong - 2% 16% 39% 34% 8%
14 COPENHAVER Edward 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
15 KIM Yoonsoo 7% 30% 41% 19% 3% -
16 DALBERG Anders 1% 7% 29% 42% 18% 2%
17 BONSTEEL Max K. - 5% 24% 41% 26% 5%
18 SIDARAS John 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
19 BLAKEMAN Michael J. - 7% 31% 41% 18% 2%
20 KEMNITZER John 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
21 MCERLEAN Liam 53% 39% 8% 1% - -
22 DENMAN Matthew L. - 5% 21% 40% 28% 5%
23 DUNLAP Ian 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5% -
24 RYAN Nash 26% 52% 19% 3% - -
25 HAAS Zane 23% 44% 26% 6% - -
26 PIZOR Luke 43% 43% 12% 1% - -
27 CARELLI Nathaniel 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
28 CARLSON Elliot 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
29 WILLIAMS Theodore 24% 45% 26% 5% - -
29 MILLER Bryton 17% 49% 28% 6% - -
31 ZHU Qihao 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.