5th Annual Denison Winter Open

Men's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Mitchell Recreation Center Denison University - Granville, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
2 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
3 CHEREDNICHENKO Ihor 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
5 MCISAAC Finn 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
6 BOYKO Miles 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 27%
7 WEI JR Shan 100% 99% 89% 52% 15% 1%
8 COPELAND Nigel 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
9 MUNDY Ezra 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
10 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
11 GNEUHS Sam 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 8%
12 HREHOCIK Matthew 100% 99% 90% 55% 16% 2%
13 ZHAO Zhiyong 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 8%
14 COPENHAVER Edward 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
15 KIM Yoonsoo 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% -
16 DALBERG Anders 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% 2%
17 BONSTEEL Max K. 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
18 SIDARAS John 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
19 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 100% 93% 62% 20% 2%
20 KEMNITZER John 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
21 MCERLEAN Liam 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
22 DENMAN Matthew L. 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 5%
23 DUNLAP Ian 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5% -
24 RYAN Nash 100% 74% 22% 3% - -
25 HAAS Zane 100% 77% 33% 6% - -
26 PIZOR Luke 100% 57% 14% 1% - -
27 CARELLI Nathaniel 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
28 CARLSON Elliot 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
29 WILLIAMS Theodore 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
29 MILLER Bryton 100% 83% 34% 6% - -
31 ZHU Qihao 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.