Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RAJ Yojith - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
2 TIKHONOV Aleksandr - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
3 ZHANG William - - - - 5% 28% 67%
3 ZHANG Bryant 4% 23% 42% 26% 5%
5 ZHANG Benjamin - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
6 HUANG Owen - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
7 LEE Elliot - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 4%
8 YIN Luke - 1% 7% 27% 45% 20%
9 BAGWELL Theodore - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
10 LIN Evan 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
11 ZHANG alex - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
12 WU Kangdi 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
13 LIU Jordan - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
14 STOCK Ian 9% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
15 ZENG Cayden 1% 12% 37% 39% 10%
16 OH Aaron 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
17 LOZANO Koen Alexander - 1% 12% 41% 45%
18 SASOMSUP Kaison 21% 45% 28% 6% -
19 SANGANI Niam 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
19 ZHOU Osborn 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
21 CHANG Hayden 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
22 TU William 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
23 XU Benjamin 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
24 LEE Reiden - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 1%
25 CHANG George 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
26 GAO Ethan 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
27 TAN Austin 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
28 FAZIO Lorenzo 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
29 LIN Calvin - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
30 DOMANTAY Dylan 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% -
31 WU William 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
32 ZHANG kingsley 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
33 SIN Chad 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
34 KHANDAN MILAN 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
35 WONG Cameron 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
37 ZHOU Bryce 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
38 RUAN Alexander 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
39 RUDENKO Zhdan 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
40 VIVAS Greyson 30% 45% 21% 4% -
41 XIE Chen 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
42 KWOK Ethan 38% 43% 17% 3% - -
43 MALAKAN Noah 43% 40% 15% 3% - - -
44 HUANG Eden 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
45 MAKSYMENKO Luca < 1% 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.